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📊 Prediction Accuracy
15.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.7
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University0.70+8.41vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College0.50+8.16vs Predicted
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3Tufts University0.66+6.52vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.35+2.60vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University-0.68+9.34vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.77-0.81vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island1.38-0.39vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University-0.04+4.09vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University1.03-1.19vs Predicted
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10Bentley University-0.88+5.25vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.01-2.97vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.72-2.79vs Predicted
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13Brown University1.06-5.44vs Predicted
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14Olin College of Engineering0.22-3.08vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island1.03-7.09vs Predicted
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16Tufts University0.51-5.98vs Predicted
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17Northeastern University1.07-9.37vs Predicted
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18Northeastern University-0.83-3.14vs Predicted
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19Maine Maritime Academy-1.69-2.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.41Harvard University0.705.8%1st Place
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10.16Bowdoin College0.503.1%1st Place
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9.52Tufts University0.664.5%1st Place
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6.6Tufts University1.359.7%1st Place
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14.34Salve Regina University-0.681.1%1st Place
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5.19Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.7713.8%1st Place
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6.61University of Rhode Island1.389.8%1st Place
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12.09Roger Williams University-0.042.9%1st Place
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7.81Roger Williams University1.037.9%1st Place
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15.25Bentley University-0.880.7%1st Place
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8.03Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.016.4%1st Place
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9.21Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.724.0%1st Place
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7.56Brown University1.067.2%1st Place
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10.92Olin College of Engineering0.223.6%1st Place
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7.91University of Rhode Island1.036.9%1st Place
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10.02Tufts University0.513.5%1st Place
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7.63Northeastern University1.077.9%1st Place
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14.86Northeastern University-0.830.8%1st Place
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16.88Maine Maritime Academy-1.690.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sophia Montgomery | 5.8% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Alex Kitay | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 2.5% | 0.5% |
| Meredith Broadus | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Matthew Wallace | 9.7% | 10.1% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Grace Quasebarth | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 11.0% | 15.8% | 16.7% | 11.7% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 13.8% | 13.0% | 13.1% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan Riley | 9.8% | 10.6% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Izaiah Farr | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 10.7% | 8.1% | 2.6% |
| Emmett Nevel | 7.9% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Archie Bolgar | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 9.6% | 16.7% | 21.0% | 18.0% |
| Jemma Schroder | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Tyler Egeli | 4.0% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Spencer Dellenbaugh | 7.2% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| James Jagielski | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 4.5% | 1.4% |
| Tyler Miller | 6.9% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Charlotte Versavel | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 0.5% |
| Joshua Dillon | 7.9% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Julia Beck | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 7.2% | 11.2% | 14.2% | 20.3% | 15.3% |
| Amelia Griffith | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 8.6% | 17.6% | 48.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.