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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University0.70+8.69vs Predicted
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2Olin College of Engineering0.22+9.65vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island1.38+3.64vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island1.03+4.17vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.01+3.12vs Predicted
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6Tufts University0.51+4.26vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.77-1.76vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.72+1.31vs Predicted
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9Tufts University0.66+0.61vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University1.07-2.09vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University-0.04+1.70vs Predicted
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12Tufts University1.35-5.36vs Predicted
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13Brown University1.06-5.15vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University-0.83+1.40vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University1.03-6.96vs Predicted
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16Bowdoin College0.50-5.41vs Predicted
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17Wesleyan University-0.39-3.11vs Predicted
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18Bentley University-0.88-2.36vs Predicted
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19Salve Regina University-0.68-4.01vs Predicted
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20Maine Maritime Academy-1.69-2.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.69Harvard University0.704.7%1st Place
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11.65Olin College of Engineering0.222.9%1st Place
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6.64University of Rhode Island1.389.8%1st Place
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8.17University of Rhode Island1.035.7%1st Place
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8.12Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.016.3%1st Place
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10.26Tufts University0.513.9%1st Place
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5.24Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.7714.8%1st Place
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9.31Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.725.0%1st Place
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9.61Tufts University0.664.3%1st Place
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7.91Northeastern University1.077.8%1st Place
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12.7Roger Williams University-0.042.1%1st Place
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6.64Tufts University1.359.6%1st Place
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7.85Brown University1.067.6%1st Place
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15.4Northeastern University-0.830.9%1st Place
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8.04Roger Williams University1.036.3%1st Place
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10.59Bowdoin College0.503.6%1st Place
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13.89Wesleyan University-0.391.6%1st Place
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15.64Bentley University-0.881.2%1st Place
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14.99Salve Regina University-0.681.5%1st Place
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17.66Maine Maritime Academy-1.690.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sophia Montgomery | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| James Jagielski | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 4.1% | 1.0% |
| Jonathan Riley | 9.8% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Miller | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Jemma Schroder | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Charlotte Versavel | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 14.8% | 12.8% | 11.0% | 11.0% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Egeli | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Meredith Broadus | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Joshua Dillon | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Izaiah Farr | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 2.8% |
| Matthew Wallace | 9.6% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Spencer Dellenbaugh | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Julia Beck | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 13.8% | 17.0% | 14.3% |
| Emmett Nevel | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Alex Kitay | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| Annie Yu | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 12.0% | 11.5% | 10.9% | 6.1% |
| Archie Bolgar | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 9.7% | 14.5% | 18.9% | 15.4% |
| Grace Quasebarth | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 10.4% | 12.8% | 18.1% | 11.5% |
| Amelia Griffith | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 9.4% | 15.5% | 46.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.