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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Connecticut College3.78+7.28vs Predicted
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2Yale University4.55+3.36vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont3.63+5.89vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College3.18+6.32vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08+1.85vs Predicted
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6Boston University3.00+5.19vs Predicted
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7Boston College4.12-0.24vs Predicted
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8Tufts University4.08-1.20vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College4.05-2.08vs Predicted
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10Brown University3.64-1.10vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island3.05+0.18vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University3.95-4.24vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University3.26-3.02vs Predicted
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14University of Connecticut1.96+0.43vs Predicted
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15Harvard University3.49-5.84vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University2.54-3.03vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42-7.28vs Predicted
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18Middlebury College1.55-2.44vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.28Connecticut College3.780.1%1st Place
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5.36Yale University4.550.1%1st Place
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8.89University of Vermont3.630.0%1st Place
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10.32Bowdoin College3.180.0%1st Place
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6.85U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.1%1st Place
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11.19Boston University3.000.0%1st Place
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6.76Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
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6.8Tufts University4.080.1%1st Place
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6.92Dartmouth College4.050.1%1st Place
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8.9Brown University3.640.1%1st Place
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11.18University of Rhode Island3.050.0%1st Place
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7.76Roger Williams University3.950.1%1st Place
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9.98Northeastern University3.260.0%1st Place
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14.43University of Connecticut1.960.0%1st Place
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9.16Harvard University3.490.0%1st Place
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12.97Salve Regina University2.540.0%1st Place
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9.72Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.0%1st Place
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15.56Middlebury College1.550.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Martland | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 0.5% |
| Graham Landy | 11.4% | 12.9% | 11.1% | 11.8% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Michael Zonnenberg | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 5.0% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Jack McGuire | 3.1% | 3.5% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 2.3% |
| Avery Fanning | 9.2% | 9.1% | 10.4% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Cameron Fraser | 3.0% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 10.3% | 8.0% | 4.6% |
| Raul Rios | 8.9% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| William Haeger | 9.3% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Matthew Wefer | 7.8% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Lucas Adams | 6.6% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 0.5% |
| Caleb Armstrong | 3.5% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 4.4% |
| William Macdonald | 8.2% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Maarten Eenkema Van Dijk | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 1.9% |
| Michael Rottier | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 11.6% | 21.6% | 25.2% |
| Brian Drumm | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 0.7% |
| Robert Lippincott | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 14.8% | 14.3% | 11.3% |
| David Alfonso | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 1.0% |
| Alexander Strothe | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 9.1% | 17.2% | 46.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.