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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University4.55+4.44vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08+5.07vs Predicted
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3Tufts University4.08+4.11vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College3.18+6.33vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island3.05+5.87vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University3.95+1.43vs Predicted
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7Harvard University3.49+2.21vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University3.26+2.03vs Predicted
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9Salve Regina University2.54+3.89vs Predicted
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10Boston University3.00+1.46vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College3.78-2.74vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont3.63-3.02vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42-3.63vs Predicted
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14Boston College4.12-7.41vs Predicted
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15University of Connecticut1.96-0.38vs Predicted
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16Brown University3.64-7.31vs Predicted
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17Dartmouth College4.05-9.89vs Predicted
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18Middlebury College1.55-2.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.44Yale University4.550.1%1st Place
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7.07U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.1%1st Place
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7.11Tufts University4.080.1%1st Place
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10.33Bowdoin College3.180.0%1st Place
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10.87University of Rhode Island3.050.0%1st Place
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7.43Roger Williams University3.950.1%1st Place
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9.21Harvard University3.490.1%1st Place
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10.03Northeastern University3.260.0%1st Place
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12.89Salve Regina University2.540.0%1st Place
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11.46Boston University3.000.0%1st Place
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8.26Connecticut College3.780.1%1st Place
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8.98University of Vermont3.630.0%1st Place
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9.37Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.1%1st Place
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6.59Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
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14.62University of Connecticut1.960.0%1st Place
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8.69Brown University3.640.0%1st Place
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7.11Dartmouth College4.050.1%1st Place
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15.54Middlebury College1.550.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Graham Landy | 13.0% | 12.8% | 12.0% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Avery Fanning | 7.3% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| William Haeger | 7.3% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 6.1% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Jack McGuire | 4.0% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 2.6% |
| Caleb Armstrong | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 8.4% | 3.5% |
| William Macdonald | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 10.0% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Brian Drumm | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 0.7% |
| Maarten Eenkema Van Dijk | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 1.6% |
| Robert Lippincott | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 14.1% | 16.2% | 9.5% |
| Cameron Fraser | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 10.9% | 10.2% | 8.3% | 5.4% |
| Kevin Martland | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 0.5% |
| Michael Zonnenberg | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 1.9% | 0.9% |
| David Alfonso | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 0.8% |
| Raul Rios | 9.8% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Michael Rottier | 1.1% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 12.6% | 20.4% | 27.7% |
| Lucas Adams | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 0.9% |
| Matthew Wefer | 9.6% | 8.7% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Strothe | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 8.7% | 17.4% | 45.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.