Race 5A

women-acc-round-1a

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

31.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Carmen Cowles 12.3% 11.5% 11.5% 10.3% 9.4% 9.9% 9.0% 6.5% 5.8% 4.0% 3.4% 3.2% 1.8% 1.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Michelle Lahrkamp 14.3% 14.2% 12.2% 11.2% 11.8% 9.1% 6.7% 5.9% 4.6% 3.8% 3.2% 1.6% 0.9% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1%
Maddie Hawkins 13.5% 12.3% 13.5% 12.2% 9.7% 9.5% 7.7% 6.2% 4.7% 5.0% 2.8% 1.6% 0.8% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
Ella Withington 3.2% 4.0% 4.1% 3.2% 4.3% 5.1% 5.2% 6.0% 6.6% 7.1% 7.1% 7.4% 8.8% 8.9% 10.9% 7.8%
Jenna Probst 3.7% 3.7% 3.9% 3.8% 5.5% 4.7% 5.5% 6.1% 5.5% 6.9% 8.2% 8.5% 8.6% 10.0% 7.8% 7.5%
Claire Siegel-Wilson 3.9% 3.4% 3.9% 4.6% 5.1% 4.9% 4.5% 6.9% 7.0% 8.3% 6.6% 8.2% 8.8% 9.2% 8.8% 6.1%
Sophia Reineke 10.0% 10.9% 9.7% 9.4% 9.8% 8.6% 9.4% 8.0% 7.3% 5.1% 5.0% 2.8% 2.0% 1.2% 0.7% 0.1%
Kiera Oreardon 2.4% 3.4% 3.3% 3.6% 3.0% 4.5% 4.0% 5.6% 5.6% 5.9% 7.4% 7.4% 10.1% 10.2% 10.6% 13.0%
Amanda Majernik 4.0% 4.2% 5.1% 5.3% 4.8% 5.9% 6.9% 7.3% 7.2% 7.2% 6.9% 8.3% 7.6% 8.1% 7.0% 4.2%
Meghan Haviland 2.0% 1.5% 1.2% 1.8% 2.9% 2.3% 2.5% 3.5% 3.5% 4.3% 5.7% 6.3% 7.7% 9.7% 15.2% 29.7%
Victroia Flatley 2.6% 2.4% 3.3% 3.9% 4.0% 4.3% 4.3% 5.0% 7.0% 6.9% 6.6% 7.9% 9.0% 10.4% 11.1% 11.3%
Emma Shakespeare 3.4% 3.9% 3.7% 3.5% 3.5% 4.2% 4.8% 4.9% 4.9% 5.5% 7.4% 8.3% 9.8% 9.9% 11.7% 10.6%
Brooke Shachoy 7.5% 6.3% 5.9% 6.9% 6.4% 7.1% 7.8% 6.2% 8.5% 7.0% 7.6% 7.6% 5.9% 4.2% 2.9% 1.8%
Kaila Pfrang 6.4% 5.1% 6.3% 7.2% 6.6% 6.5% 8.1% 6.7% 7.8% 8.2% 8.2% 7.2% 5.9% 5.1% 3.1% 1.8%
Emily Bornarth 7.2% 8.8% 8.3% 7.8% 9.2% 7.4% 7.4% 8.6% 7.6% 7.4% 6.3% 5.1% 4.6% 1.9% 1.8% 0.4%
Katherine Bennett 3.5% 4.5% 4.2% 5.3% 4.2% 5.9% 6.2% 6.6% 6.4% 7.3% 7.5% 8.3% 7.5% 9.4% 7.6% 5.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.