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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College4.12+5.99vs Predicted
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2Yale University4.55+3.36vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College4.05+4.19vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont3.63+4.56vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College3.18+5.36vs Predicted
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6Harvard University3.49+3.32vs Predicted
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7Brown University3.64+1.62vs Predicted
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8Tufts University4.08-1.12vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island3.05+2.01vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University3.95-2.30vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College3.78-2.79vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08-4.76vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University3.26-3.02vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42-4.81vs Predicted
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15University of Connecticut1.96-0.34vs Predicted
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16Boston University3.00-4.76vs Predicted
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17Middlebury College1.55-1.26vs Predicted
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18Salve Regina University2.54-5.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.99Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
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5.36Yale University4.550.1%1st Place
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7.19Dartmouth College4.050.1%1st Place
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8.56University of Vermont3.630.1%1st Place
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10.36Bowdoin College3.180.0%1st Place
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9.32Harvard University3.490.1%1st Place
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8.62Brown University3.640.1%1st Place
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6.88Tufts University4.080.1%1st Place
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11.01University of Rhode Island3.050.0%1st Place
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7.7Roger Williams University3.950.1%1st Place
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8.21Connecticut College3.780.1%1st Place
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7.24U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.1%1st Place
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9.98Northeastern University3.260.0%1st Place
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9.19Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.1%1st Place
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14.66University of Connecticut1.960.0%1st Place
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11.24Boston University3.000.0%1st Place
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15.74Middlebury College1.550.0%1st Place
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12.74Salve Regina University2.540.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raul Rios | 9.0% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Graham Landy | 11.4% | 13.0% | 11.1% | 12.0% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Wefer | 7.5% | 6.7% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Michael Zonnenberg | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 1.1% |
| Jack McGuire | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 2.0% |
| Brian Drumm | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 3.7% | 1.5% |
| Lucas Adams | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 1.5% | 1.0% |
| William Haeger | 8.9% | 11.0% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Caleb Armstrong | 3.3% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 11.1% | 6.7% | 3.0% |
| William Macdonald | 8.4% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Martland | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| Avery Fanning | 8.9% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Maarten Eenkema Van Dijk | 3.7% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 2.1% |
| David Alfonso | 5.1% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 1.2% |
| Michael Rottier | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 9.7% | 11.1% | 21.6% | 27.1% |
| Cameron Fraser | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 3.5% |
| Alexander Strothe | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 9.8% | 17.1% | 47.5% |
| Robert Lippincott | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 13.4% | 14.9% | 9.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.