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📊 Prediction Accuracy
5.6%
Within 2 Positions
4.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University4.55+4.44vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08+5.07vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College4.05+4.19vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College3.18+6.30vs Predicted
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5Harvard University3.49+4.15vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College3.78+2.10vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island3.05+3.99vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont3.63+0.65vs Predicted
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9University of Connecticut1.96+5.68vs Predicted
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10Boston College4.12-3.04vs Predicted
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11Middlebury College1.55+4.68vs Predicted
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12Tufts University4.08-4.71vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University3.26-3.02vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University3.95-6.79vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42-5.49vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University2.54-3.03vs Predicted
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17Brown University3.64-8.18vs Predicted
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18Boston University3.00-6.99vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.44Yale University4.550.1%1st Place
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7.07U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.1%1st Place
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7.19Dartmouth College4.050.1%1st Place
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10.3Bowdoin College3.180.0%1st Place
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9.15Harvard University3.490.1%1st Place
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8.1Connecticut College3.780.1%1st Place
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10.99University of Rhode Island3.050.0%1st Place
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8.65University of Vermont3.630.1%1st Place
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14.68University of Connecticut1.960.0%1st Place
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6.96Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
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15.68Middlebury College1.550.0%1st Place
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7.29Tufts University4.080.1%1st Place
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9.98Northeastern University3.260.0%1st Place
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7.21Roger Williams University3.950.1%1st Place
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9.51Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.0%1st Place
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12.97Salve Regina University2.540.0%1st Place
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8.82Brown University3.640.1%1st Place
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11.01Boston University3.000.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Graham Landy | 12.6% | 13.4% | 12.3% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Avery Fanning | 7.7% | 6.6% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Matthew Wefer | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Jack McGuire | 3.4% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 5.2% | 2.5% |
| Brian Drumm | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 3.3% | 1.3% |
| Kevin Martland | 6.6% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Caleb Armstrong | 3.0% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 10.4% | 7.8% | 3.2% |
| Michael Zonnenberg | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 0.2% |
| Michael Rottier | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 11.7% | 23.3% | 25.9% |
| Raul Rios | 9.5% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Alexander Strothe | 0.9% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 16.7% | 48.2% |
| William Haeger | 8.2% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Maarten Eenkema Van Dijk | 4.4% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 2.7% |
| William Macdonald | 7.4% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| David Alfonso | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 1.0% |
| Robert Lippincott | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 12.9% | 16.9% | 10.0% |
| Lucas Adams | 5.8% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 8.4% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 0.1% |
| Cameron Fraser | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 7.4% | 3.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.