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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.42+4.77vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College2.75+2.86vs Predicted
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3Stanford University2.61+1.73vs Predicted
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4Boston College2.34+1.96vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.03+2.06vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University1.25+3.69vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland1.35+2.62vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.68-0.01vs Predicted
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9University of Pennsylvania1.72-0.72vs Predicted
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10University of Michigan1.57-0.17vs Predicted
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11Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.30-1.05vs Predicted
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12College of Charleston0.96-1.36vs Predicted
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13Cornell University1.70-5.22vs Predicted
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14University of South Florida1.09-3.42vs Predicted
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15Fordham University1.02-4.27vs Predicted
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16University of Rhode Island0.60-3.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.77Yale University2.4210.0%1st Place
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4.86Dartmouth College2.7515.8%1st Place
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4.73Stanford University2.6115.6%1st Place
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5.96Boston College2.3410.4%1st Place
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7.06U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.037.6%1st Place
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9.69Roger Williams University1.253.3%1st Place
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9.62St. Mary's College of Maryland1.353.2%1st Place
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7.99Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.686.2%1st Place
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8.28University of Pennsylvania1.725.5%1st Place
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9.83University of Michigan1.573.7%1st Place
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9.95Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.302.7%1st Place
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10.64College of Charleston0.962.8%1st Place
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7.78Cornell University1.706.7%1st Place
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10.58University of South Florida1.092.3%1st Place
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10.73Fordham University1.023.1%1st Place
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12.53University of Rhode Island0.601.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
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Carmen Cowles | 10.0% | 11.3% | 10.9% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
Maddie Hawkins | 15.8% | 12.8% | 12.8% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
Michelle Lahrkamp | 15.6% | 15.0% | 12.7% | 12.2% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
Sophia Reineke | 10.4% | 11.2% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
Emily Bornarth | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 0.7% |
Claire Siegel-Wilson | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 6.0% |
Katherine Bennett | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 5.2% |
Kaila Pfrang | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 1.8% |
Torrey Chisari | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 2.9% |
Jenna Probst | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 7.1% |
Ella Withington | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 7.8% |
Kiera Oreardon | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 11.3% | 12.4% |
Brooke Shachoy | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 1.7% |
Emma Shakespeare | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 11.8% | 10.2% | 11.5% |
Victroia Flatley | 3.1% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 10.9% | 11.8% | 11.9% |
Meghan Haviland | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 10.3% | 15.0% | 30.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.