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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University4.08+6.01vs Predicted
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2Boston College4.12+4.84vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island3.05+8.20vs Predicted
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4Yale University4.55+1.17vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College4.05+1.88vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College3.18+4.40vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University3.95+0.31vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont3.63+0.50vs Predicted
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9Salve Regina University2.54+3.81vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College3.78-1.84vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08-4.08vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42-2.23vs Predicted
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13Harvard University3.49-4.00vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University3.26-4.33vs Predicted
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15University of Connecticut1.96-0.45vs Predicted
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16Boston University3.00-4.87vs Predicted
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17Middlebury College1.55-1.27vs Predicted
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18Brown University3.23-8.03vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.01Tufts University4.080.1%1st Place
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6.84Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
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11.2University of Rhode Island3.050.0%1st Place
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5.17Yale University4.550.1%1st Place
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6.88Dartmouth College4.050.1%1st Place
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10.4Bowdoin College3.180.0%1st Place
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7.31Roger Williams University3.950.1%1st Place
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8.5University of Vermont3.630.1%1st Place
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12.81Salve Regina University2.540.0%1st Place
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8.16Connecticut College3.780.1%1st Place
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6.92U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.1%1st Place
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9.77Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.0%1st Place
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9.0Harvard University3.490.1%1st Place
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9.67Northeastern University3.260.0%1st Place
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14.55University of Connecticut1.960.0%1st Place
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11.13Boston University3.000.0%1st Place
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15.73Middlebury College1.550.0%1st Place
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9.97Brown University3.230.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Haeger | 8.5% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Raul Rios | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Caleb Armstrong | 2.7% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 10.3% | 8.4% | 3.5% |
| Graham Landy | 14.7% | 13.0% | 12.1% | 13.0% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Wefer | 9.2% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Jack McGuire | 4.0% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 2.6% |
| William Macdonald | 7.8% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| Michael Zonnenberg | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 0.8% |
| Robert Lippincott | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 9.9% | 13.9% | 16.6% | 8.3% |
| Kevin Martland | 7.1% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Avery Fanning | 8.6% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| David Alfonso | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 3.6% | 1.7% |
| Brian Drumm | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 0.6% |
| Maarten Eenkema Van Dijk | 4.5% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 1.8% |
| Michael Rottier | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 9.8% | 12.0% | 19.4% | 26.6% |
| Cameron Fraser | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 3.5% |
| Alexander Strothe | 0.7% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 9.2% | 16.6% | 47.6% |
| Tyler Rice | 3.9% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 3.8% | 1.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.