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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.23+9.41vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08+5.01vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42+6.68vs Predicted
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4Yale University4.55+1.19vs Predicted
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5Tufts University4.08+1.80vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College3.18+4.44vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University3.95+0.38vs Predicted
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8Boston College4.12-1.37vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College4.05-2.14vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College3.78-1.80vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University3.26-0.79vs Predicted
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12Salve Regina University2.54+1.11vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island3.05-2.26vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont3.63-5.67vs Predicted
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15University of Connecticut1.96-0.45vs Predicted
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16Middlebury College1.55-0.31vs Predicted
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17Harvard University3.49-7.63vs Predicted
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18Boston University3.13-7.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.41Brown University3.230.0%1st Place
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7.01U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.1%1st Place
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9.68Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.0%1st Place
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5.19Yale University4.550.1%1st Place
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6.8Tufts University4.080.1%1st Place
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10.44Bowdoin College3.180.0%1st Place
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7.38Roger Williams University3.950.1%1st Place
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6.63Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
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6.86Dartmouth College4.050.1%1st Place
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8.2Connecticut College3.780.1%1st Place
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10.21Northeastern University3.260.0%1st Place
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13.11Salve Regina University2.540.0%1st Place
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10.74University of Rhode Island3.050.0%1st Place
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8.33University of Vermont3.630.1%1st Place
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14.55University of Connecticut1.960.0%1st Place
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15.69Middlebury College1.550.0%1st Place
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9.37Harvard University3.490.1%1st Place
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10.43Boston University3.130.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Rice | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 10.1% | 4.5% | 2.8% |
| Avery Fanning | 6.9% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| David Alfonso | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 1.1% |
| Graham Landy | 13.8% | 13.8% | 13.4% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| William Haeger | 8.9% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Jack McGuire | 3.5% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 5.5% | 3.1% |
| William Macdonald | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Raul Rios | 9.8% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Matthew Wefer | 8.1% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Kevin Martland | 7.1% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Maarten Eenkema Van Dijk | 4.6% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 10.0% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 2.0% |
| Robert Lippincott | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 10.9% | 11.9% | 17.3% | 12.1% |
| Caleb Armstrong | 4.1% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 3.1% |
| Michael Zonnenberg | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 2.0% | 0.7% |
| Michael Rottier | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 11.3% | 22.2% | 24.8% |
| Alexander Strothe | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 10.0% | 18.0% | 45.7% |
| Brian Drumm | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 1.0% |
| Brendan Cook | 3.6% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 5.5% | 2.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.