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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42+8.64vs Predicted
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2Boston College4.12+4.85vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College4.05+4.07vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island3.05+6.82vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University3.95+2.35vs Predicted
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6Yale University4.55-0.80vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University2.54+5.80vs Predicted
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8Tufts University4.08-1.20vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08-2.17vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont3.63-1.12vs Predicted
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11Brown University3.23-0.72vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University3.26-1.58vs Predicted
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13University of Connecticut1.96+1.44vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College3.78-6.23vs Predicted
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15Harvard University3.49-5.89vs Predicted
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16Bowdoin College3.18-5.51vs Predicted
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17Boston University3.13-6.26vs Predicted
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18Middlebury College1.55-2.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.64Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.0%1st Place
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6.85Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
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7.07Dartmouth College4.050.1%1st Place
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10.82University of Rhode Island3.050.0%1st Place
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7.35Roger Williams University3.950.1%1st Place
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5.2Yale University4.550.1%1st Place
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12.8Salve Regina University2.540.0%1st Place
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6.8Tufts University4.080.1%1st Place
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6.83U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.1%1st Place
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8.88University of Vermont3.630.1%1st Place
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10.28Brown University3.230.0%1st Place
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10.42Northeastern University3.260.0%1st Place
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14.44University of Connecticut1.960.0%1st Place
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7.77Connecticut College3.780.1%1st Place
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9.11Harvard University3.490.0%1st Place
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10.49Bowdoin College3.180.0%1st Place
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10.74Boston University3.130.0%1st Place
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15.53Middlebury College1.550.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Alfonso | 4.6% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 3.8% | 1.8% |
| Raul Rios | 7.6% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.2% |
| Matthew Wefer | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Caleb Armstrong | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 4.1% |
| William Macdonald | 8.0% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| Graham Landy | 14.8% | 11.9% | 12.2% | 12.2% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Robert Lippincott | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 14.0% | 15.1% | 10.3% |
| William Haeger | 9.0% | 11.0% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Avery Fanning | 7.6% | 10.0% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Michael Zonnenberg | 6.3% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 0.4% |
| Tyler Rice | 4.4% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 2.2% |
| Maarten Eenkema Van Dijk | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 5.7% | 2.0% |
| Michael Rottier | 1.5% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 11.1% | 20.7% | 26.9% |
| Kevin Martland | 6.4% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Brian Drumm | 4.9% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 0.8% |
| Jack McGuire | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 3.1% |
| Brendan Cook | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 3.2% |
| Alexander Strothe | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 9.2% | 18.7% | 43.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.