Race 11A

women-acc-round-1a

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

37.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Emily Bornarth 8.0% 8.5% 8.8% 6.7% 7.5% 8.4% 7.6% 7.4% 8.3% 7.3% 6.1% 5.4% 4.5% 2.9% 1.7% 0.9%
Michelle Lahrkamp 13.6% 13.6% 14.0% 12.6% 9.8% 9.7% 7.6% 5.7% 4.9% 4.0% 2.0% 1.4% 0.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
Maddie Hawkins 16.0% 13.7% 12.5% 11.8% 9.2% 9.2% 7.1% 6.8% 4.7% 3.0% 2.9% 2.1% 0.6% 0.2% 0.3% 0.0%
Carmen Cowles 11.5% 10.9% 10.4% 10.5% 9.6% 10.0% 8.9% 6.8% 6.0% 4.3% 4.4% 3.2% 2.2% 0.7% 0.5% 0.0%
Kiera Oreardon 2.5% 3.0% 2.6% 3.0% 4.2% 3.9% 4.5% 5.3% 5.5% 6.0% 6.3% 8.5% 9.0% 10.6% 11.9% 13.1%
Sophia Reineke 11.0% 10.8% 10.1% 10.3% 9.7% 8.4% 7.5% 8.2% 6.4% 5.3% 4.2% 3.4% 2.9% 1.1% 0.7% 0.0%
Claire Siegel-Wilson 3.5% 3.5% 4.3% 5.0% 5.0% 4.9% 5.3% 6.0% 7.0% 7.6% 8.6% 8.6% 9.2% 7.8% 8.1% 5.5%
Meghan Haviland 2.1% 1.4% 2.1% 2.1% 2.4% 2.3% 3.2% 3.3% 3.5% 5.0% 4.5% 6.2% 7.1% 9.4% 16.9% 28.4%
Brooke Shachoy 6.2% 7.1% 7.2% 7.1% 7.4% 6.1% 7.5% 7.2% 7.7% 8.3% 6.9% 7.6% 5.2% 4.5% 2.5% 1.2%
Jenna Probst 3.5% 3.6% 4.2% 5.2% 4.8% 5.5% 6.3% 5.6% 5.8% 7.8% 7.3% 7.5% 8.1% 9.2% 7.6% 7.8%
Kaila Pfrang 5.1% 6.2% 5.1% 5.9% 7.5% 7.4% 6.8% 8.1% 8.1% 7.6% 7.3% 7.1% 6.5% 5.5% 3.6% 2.1%
Victroia Flatley 2.9% 2.8% 3.2% 3.5% 4.3% 4.5% 4.5% 5.8% 5.7% 5.8% 6.6% 7.8% 8.8% 11.6% 11.3% 11.2%
Amanda Majernik 3.8% 4.3% 4.9% 3.9% 4.7% 5.8% 7.2% 6.2% 7.4% 7.6% 7.4% 7.7% 8.0% 8.5% 7.1% 5.7%
Katherine Bennett 3.9% 4.9% 3.8% 4.5% 5.5% 5.3% 5.7% 6.2% 6.6% 6.5% 8.8% 8.0% 8.8% 8.5% 7.5% 5.5%
Ella Withington 2.7% 3.4% 3.8% 4.2% 4.7% 4.5% 5.0% 6.0% 6.9% 7.1% 8.5% 8.0% 8.9% 9.3% 9.0% 8.1%
Emma Shakespeare 3.8% 2.4% 3.1% 3.6% 3.9% 4.2% 5.1% 5.5% 5.7% 6.8% 8.2% 7.4% 9.3% 9.7% 11.0% 10.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.