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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College4.12+5.69vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College4.05+4.87vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42+6.39vs Predicted
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4Yale University4.55+0.98vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08+1.55vs Predicted
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6Harvard University3.49+2.88vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College2.59+5.34vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont3.63+0.22vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island3.05+1.59vs Predicted
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10Brown University3.23+0.18vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University3.95-3.84vs Predicted
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12Tufts University4.08-5.08vs Predicted
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13Boston University3.13-2.83vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University2.54-1.72vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University3.26-5.25vs Predicted
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16Bowdoin College3.18-5.88vs Predicted
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17Middlebury College1.55-1.41vs Predicted
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18University of Connecticut1.96-3.68vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.69Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
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6.87Dartmouth College4.050.1%1st Place
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9.39Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.0%1st Place
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4.98Yale University4.550.1%1st Place
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6.55U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.1%1st Place
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8.88Harvard University3.490.1%1st Place
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12.34Connecticut College2.590.0%1st Place
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8.22University of Vermont3.630.1%1st Place
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10.59University of Rhode Island3.050.0%1st Place
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10.18Brown University3.230.0%1st Place
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7.16Roger Williams University3.950.1%1st Place
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6.92Tufts University4.080.1%1st Place
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10.17Boston University3.130.0%1st Place
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12.28Salve Regina University2.540.0%1st Place
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9.75Northeastern University3.260.0%1st Place
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10.12Bowdoin College3.180.0%1st Place
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15.59Middlebury College1.550.0%1st Place
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14.32University of Connecticut1.960.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raul Rios | 9.1% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Wefer | 7.6% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| David Alfonso | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 2.2% | 1.3% |
| Graham Landy | 14.7% | 14.4% | 14.4% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Avery Fanning | 10.0% | 11.1% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.3% |
| Brian Drumm | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 1.2% |
| Ellis Tonissi | 2.7% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 11.1% | 11.5% | 13.7% | 8.2% |
| Michael Zonnenberg | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 0.4% |
| Caleb Armstrong | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 5.1% | 2.7% |
| Tyler Rice | 4.4% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 1.7% |
| William Macdonald | 9.0% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| William Haeger | 8.7% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Brendan Cook | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 4.7% | 1.9% |
| Robert Lippincott | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 10.0% | 13.2% | 13.2% | 8.0% |
| Maarten Eenkema Van Dijk | 3.9% | 3.1% | 6.7% | 3.5% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 1.1% |
| Jack McGuire | 2.7% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 2.0% |
| Alexander Strothe | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 5.7% | 9.6% | 16.3% | 46.3% |
| Michael Rottier | 1.7% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 10.8% | 20.0% | 24.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.