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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42+5.19vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont3.51+3.96vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island2.64+5.92vs Predicted
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4Salve Regina University2.54+5.43vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University2.92+3.02vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College3.78-0.72vs Predicted
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7Tufts University4.08-2.56vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College4.05-4.67vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.24+0.23vs Predicted
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11University of New Hampshire1.81+0.73vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College2.70-3.32vs Predicted
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13Boston University2.90-4.95vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University1.39-1.17vs Predicted
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15Bates College2.43-5.42vs Predicted
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16Maine Maritime Academy1.30-2.82vs Predicted
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17University of Connecticut2.59-7.85vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.19Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.1%1st Place
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5.96University of Vermont3.510.1%1st Place
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8.92University of Rhode Island2.640.0%1st Place
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9.43Salve Regina University2.540.0%1st Place
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8.02Roger Williams University2.920.0%1st Place
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5.28Connecticut College3.780.1%1st Place
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4.44Tufts University4.080.2%1st Place
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4.33Dartmouth College4.050.2%1st Place
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10.23Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.240.0%1st Place
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11.73University of New Hampshire1.810.0%1st Place
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8.68Bowdoin College2.700.1%1st Place
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8.05Boston University2.900.1%1st Place
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12.83Northeastern University1.390.0%1st Place
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9.58Bates College2.430.0%1st Place
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13.18Maine Maritime Academy1.300.0%1st Place
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9.15University of Connecticut2.590.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Alfonso | 8.7% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 11.1% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Jordan Factor | 10.1% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Lyle Fielding | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 4.0% | 2.6% |
| Robert Lippincott | 2.8% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 8.4% | 5.9% | 3.7% |
| Haley Powell | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 0.7% |
| Kevin Martland | 11.2% | 11.8% | 14.0% | 11.0% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| William Haeger | 16.6% | 14.9% | 13.2% | 11.4% | 11.4% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Wefer | 17.9% | 16.1% | 12.2% | 13.5% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Richard Graef | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 10.4% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 5.9% |
| Neal Drake | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 14.8% | 16.5% | 14.6% |
| Billy Rohman | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 4.0% | 2.0% |
| Tripp Cashel | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 5.3% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 2.4% | 1.5% |
| Marshall McLean | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 11.0% | 19.2% | 28.9% |
| Tommy Holmberg | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 4.0% |
| Max Fleischfresser | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 8.6% | 10.7% | 19.2% | 33.7% |
| John Giuliano | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 5.9% | 2.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.