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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Michigan-1.04+3.02vs Predicted
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2Ohio State University0.64-0.10vs Predicted
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3University of Notre Dame-0.34+0.01vs Predicted
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4Michigan Technological University-2.29+1.82vs Predicted
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5Michigan Technological University-0.55-1.71vs Predicted
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6Michigan State University-1.65-1.11vs Predicted
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7Western Michigan University-2.31-1.10vs Predicted
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8Marquette University-3.39-0.84vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.02University of Michigan-1.048.3%1st Place
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1.9Ohio State University0.6448.0%1st Place
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3.01University of Notre Dame-0.3418.4%1st Place
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5.82Michigan Technological University-2.293.1%1st Place
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3.29Michigan Technological University-0.5513.9%1st Place
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4.89Michigan State University-1.655.0%1st Place
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5.9Western Michigan University-2.312.6%1st Place
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7.16Marquette University-3.390.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Caplis | 8.3% | 12.3% | 16.3% | 23.0% | 19.8% | 13.4% | 6.1% | 0.9% |
| Emma Hershey | 48.0% | 26.8% | 15.3% | 7.0% | 2.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Molinsky | 18.4% | 23.8% | 22.4% | 18.1% | 10.8% | 5.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Astrid Myhre | 3.1% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 8.6% | 13.6% | 22.3% | 28.5% | 15.0% |
| Gavin Parsons | 13.9% | 20.9% | 22.4% | 18.4% | 15.8% | 6.6% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Thomas Weykamp | 5.0% | 8.1% | 10.8% | 14.0% | 19.8% | 21.3% | 16.3% | 5.0% |
| Kate Heaman | 2.6% | 3.5% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 12.2% | 21.6% | 29.1% | 17.1% |
| Elizabeth Lothian | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 5.5% | 9.4% | 17.0% | 61.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.