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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University4.55+4.44vs Predicted
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2Harvard University3.49+7.50vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont3.63+5.90vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University3.26+6.02vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College4.05+1.99vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08+0.92vs Predicted
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7Boston College4.12-0.28vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College3.78-0.02vs Predicted
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9Brown University3.64-0.42vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College3.18+0.69vs Predicted
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11Tufts University4.08-4.01vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42-2.14vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University2.54-0.35vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University3.95-6.87vs Predicted
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15University of Connecticut1.96-0.33vs Predicted
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16University of Rhode Island3.05-4.94vs Predicted
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17Boston University3.00-5.68vs Predicted
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18Middlebury College1.53-2.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.44Yale University4.550.1%1st Place
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9.5Harvard University3.490.0%1st Place
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8.9University of Vermont3.630.0%1st Place
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10.02Northeastern University3.260.0%1st Place
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6.99Dartmouth College4.050.1%1st Place
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6.92U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.1%1st Place
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6.72Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
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7.98Connecticut College3.780.1%1st Place
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8.58Brown University3.640.0%1st Place
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10.69Bowdoin College3.180.0%1st Place
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6.99Tufts University4.080.1%1st Place
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9.86Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.0%1st Place
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12.65Salve Regina University2.540.0%1st Place
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7.13Roger Williams University3.950.1%1st Place
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14.67University of Connecticut1.960.0%1st Place
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11.06University of Rhode Island3.050.0%1st Place
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11.32Boston University3.000.0%1st Place
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15.57Middlebury College1.530.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Graham Landy | 12.5% | 13.2% | 11.5% | 10.4% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brian Drumm | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 1.3% |
| Michael Zonnenberg | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 0.3% |
| Maarten Eenkema Van Dijk | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 4.2% | 2.8% |
| Matthew Wefer | 9.5% | 10.0% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Avery Fanning | 8.9% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Raul Rios | 8.9% | 11.0% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Kevin Martland | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.6% |
| Lucas Adams | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| Jack McGuire | 4.0% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 2.8% |
| William Haeger | 9.2% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| David Alfonso | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 1.5% |
| Robert Lippincott | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 10.1% | 13.3% | 14.5% | 10.3% |
| William Macdonald | 8.4% | 8.2% | 10.6% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Michael Rottier | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 10.5% | 21.9% | 27.5% |
| Caleb Armstrong | 2.5% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 11.7% | 7.7% | 3.5% |
| Cameron Fraser | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 3.8% |
| Sean Willerford | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 10.1% | 19.3% | 44.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.