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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.64+7.89vs Predicted
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2Tufts University4.08+5.06vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College4.05+4.13vs Predicted
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4Yale University4.55+1.25vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College3.18+5.38vs Predicted
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6Boston University3.00+5.17vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island3.05+3.97vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont3.63+0.59vs Predicted
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9Harvard University3.49+0.17vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42-0.19vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University3.26-0.73vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08-4.77vs Predicted
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13Boston College4.12-6.36vs Predicted
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14University of Connecticut1.96+0.44vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College3.78-7.01vs Predicted
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16Middlebury College1.53-0.27vs Predicted
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17Roger Williams University3.95-9.47vs Predicted
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18Salve Regina University2.54-5.23vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.89Brown University3.640.0%1st Place
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7.06Tufts University4.080.1%1st Place
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7.13Dartmouth College4.050.1%1st Place
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5.25Yale University4.550.1%1st Place
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10.38Bowdoin College3.180.0%1st Place
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11.17Boston University3.000.0%1st Place
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10.97University of Rhode Island3.050.0%1st Place
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8.59University of Vermont3.630.1%1st Place
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9.17Harvard University3.490.0%1st Place
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9.81Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.1%1st Place
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10.27Northeastern University3.260.0%1st Place
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7.23U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.1%1st Place
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6.64Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
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14.44University of Connecticut1.960.0%1st Place
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7.99Connecticut College3.780.1%1st Place
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15.73Middlebury College1.530.0%1st Place
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7.53Roger Williams University3.950.1%1st Place
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12.77Salve Regina University2.540.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucas Adams | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 8.0% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 0.9% |
| William Haeger | 6.6% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 10.8% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Matthew Wefer | 8.0% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Graham Landy | 14.8% | 13.8% | 11.7% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jack McGuire | 3.8% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 3.3% |
| Cameron Fraser | 2.7% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 10.9% | 7.9% | 4.6% |
| Caleb Armstrong | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 8.4% | 3.3% |
| Michael Zonnenberg | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 4.4% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Brian Drumm | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 3.4% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 0.8% |
| David Alfonso | 5.2% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 1.5% |
| Maarten Eenkema Van Dijk | 4.7% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 2.4% |
| Avery Fanning | 8.0% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Raul Rios | 9.3% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Michael Rottier | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 11.0% | 22.0% | 25.6% |
| Kevin Martland | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 0.3% |
| Sean Willerford | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 6.4% | 10.3% | 16.0% | 47.8% |
| William Macdonald | 8.2% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Robert Lippincott | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 11.4% | 14.0% | 14.6% | 8.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.