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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.64+7.85vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College4.05+5.25vs Predicted
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3Yale University4.55+2.37vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College3.78+3.95vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island3.05+5.91vs Predicted
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6Boston College4.12+0.78vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University3.95+0.45vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42+1.46vs Predicted
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9Tufts University4.08-2.15vs Predicted
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10Harvard University3.49-0.45vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University3.26-0.68vs Predicted
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12University of Connecticut1.96+2.89vs Predicted
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13Boston University3.00-1.97vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University2.54-1.42vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont3.63-6.39vs Predicted
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16Bowdoin College3.18-5.41vs Predicted
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17U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08-9.96vs Predicted
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18Middlebury College1.53-2.44vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.85Brown University3.640.0%1st Place
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7.25Dartmouth College4.050.1%1st Place
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5.37Yale University4.550.1%1st Place
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7.95Connecticut College3.780.1%1st Place
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10.91University of Rhode Island3.050.0%1st Place
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6.78Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
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7.45Roger Williams University3.950.1%1st Place
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9.46Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.0%1st Place
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6.85Tufts University4.080.1%1st Place
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9.55Harvard University3.490.1%1st Place
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10.32Northeastern University3.260.0%1st Place
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14.89University of Connecticut1.960.0%1st Place
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11.03Boston University3.000.0%1st Place
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12.58Salve Regina University2.540.0%1st Place
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8.61University of Vermont3.630.1%1st Place
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10.59Bowdoin College3.180.0%1st Place
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7.04U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.1%1st Place
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15.56Middlebury College1.530.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucas Adams | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 2.5% | 0.7% |
| Matthew Wefer | 6.4% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Graham Landy | 13.1% | 12.4% | 11.4% | 10.6% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Martland | 6.7% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| Caleb Armstrong | 3.2% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 2.7% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 3.4% |
| Raul Rios | 9.5% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| William Macdonald | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| David Alfonso | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 3.2% | 0.8% |
| William Haeger | 8.0% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Brian Drumm | 5.7% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 1.0% |
| Maarten Eenkema Van Dijk | 4.8% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 2.5% |
| Michael Rottier | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 21.5% | 30.6% |
| Cameron Fraser | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 3.3% |
| Robert Lippincott | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 14.5% | 14.8% | 9.3% |
| Michael Zonnenberg | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Jack McGuire | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 3.1% |
| Avery Fanning | 8.9% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Sean Willerford | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 11.3% | 18.1% | 43.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.