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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University4.08+6.09vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.64+6.86vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College4.05+4.19vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08+2.81vs Predicted
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5Boston College4.12+1.76vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island3.05+5.08vs Predicted
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7Yale University4.55-1.70vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42+1.43vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University3.95-1.71vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont3.63-1.12vs Predicted
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11Boston University3.00+0.24vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University3.26-1.48vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College3.18-2.71vs Predicted
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14Harvard University3.49-5.05vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College3.78-6.99vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University2.54-3.05vs Predicted
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17University of Connecticut1.96-2.21vs Predicted
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18Middlebury College1.53-2.44vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.09Tufts University4.080.1%1st Place
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8.86Brown University3.640.0%1st Place
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7.19Dartmouth College4.050.1%1st Place
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6.81U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.1%1st Place
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6.76Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
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11.08University of Rhode Island3.050.0%1st Place
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5.3Yale University4.550.1%1st Place
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9.43Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.0%1st Place
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7.29Roger Williams University3.950.1%1st Place
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8.88University of Vermont3.630.1%1st Place
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11.24Boston University3.000.0%1st Place
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10.52Northeastern University3.260.0%1st Place
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10.29Bowdoin College3.180.0%1st Place
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8.95Harvard University3.490.1%1st Place
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8.01Connecticut College3.780.1%1st Place
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12.95Salve Regina University2.540.0%1st Place
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14.79University of Connecticut1.960.0%1st Place
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15.56Middlebury College1.530.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Haeger | 8.0% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Adams | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| Matthew Wefer | 7.8% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Avery Fanning | 10.5% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Raul Rios | 8.8% | 11.3% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Caleb Armstrong | 2.6% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 10.7% | 6.8% | 4.2% |
| Graham Landy | 13.7% | 12.7% | 12.6% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| David Alfonso | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 0.7% |
| William Macdonald | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Michael Zonnenberg | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 0.6% |
| Cameron Fraser | 3.8% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 10.7% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 4.1% |
| Maarten Eenkema Van Dijk | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 6.3% | 2.3% |
| Jack McGuire | 4.1% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 2.0% |
| Brian Drumm | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 0.9% |
| Kevin Martland | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 3.9% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Robert Lippincott | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 13.9% | 14.0% | 11.0% |
| Michael Rottier | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 8.2% | 12.3% | 23.1% | 28.0% |
| Sean Willerford | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 6.2% | 9.3% | 18.2% | 44.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.