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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Connecticut College3.78+7.21vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College4.05+5.16vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08+4.07vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University3.95+3.32vs Predicted
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5Yale University4.55+0.26vs Predicted
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6Tufts University4.08+0.84vs Predicted
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7Harvard University3.49+2.21vs Predicted
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8Middlebury College1.53+7.52vs Predicted
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9Boston University3.00+2.14vs Predicted
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10Boston College4.12-3.04vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island3.05+0.10vs Predicted
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12University of Connecticut1.96+2.80vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42-3.67vs Predicted
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14Brown University3.64-5.64vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont3.63-6.40vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University2.29-2.29vs Predicted
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17Northeastern University3.26-6.81vs Predicted
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18Bowdoin College3.18-7.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.21Connecticut College3.780.1%1st Place
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7.16Dartmouth College4.050.1%1st Place
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7.07U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.1%1st Place
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7.32Roger Williams University3.950.1%1st Place
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5.26Yale University4.550.1%1st Place
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6.84Tufts University4.080.1%1st Place
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9.21Harvard University3.490.1%1st Place
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15.52Middlebury College1.530.0%1st Place
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11.14Boston University3.000.0%1st Place
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6.96Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
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11.1University of Rhode Island3.050.0%1st Place
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14.8University of Connecticut1.960.0%1st Place
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9.33Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.1%1st Place
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8.36Brown University3.640.1%1st Place
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8.6University of Vermont3.630.1%1st Place
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13.71Salve Regina University2.290.0%1st Place
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10.19Northeastern University3.260.0%1st Place
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10.24Bowdoin College3.180.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Martland | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Matthew Wefer | 6.5% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Avery Fanning | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 10.1% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| William Macdonald | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Graham Landy | 13.9% | 15.0% | 12.1% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| William Haeger | 8.9% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Brian Drumm | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 2.5% | 1.2% |
| Sean Willerford | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 8.2% | 20.0% | 43.0% |
| Cameron Fraser | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 7.3% | 3.1% |
| Raul Rios | 9.6% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 9.3% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Caleb Armstrong | 3.4% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 4.2% |
| Michael Rottier | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 12.3% | 23.6% | 26.5% |
| David Alfonso | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 0.8% |
| Lucas Adams | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 8.8% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Michael Zonnenberg | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 0.6% |
| Christopher Jensen | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 15.1% | 17.5% | 15.9% |
| Maarten Eenkema Van Dijk | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 5.0% | 1.4% |
| Jack McGuire | 4.4% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 1.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.