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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University3.05+9.40vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.62+6.09vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65+5.10vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.69+3.58vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College3.55+3.15vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont3.51+2.41vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College3.49+1.46vs Predicted
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8Tufts University3.73-0.57vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island2.95+1.65vs Predicted
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10Yale University3.80-2.51vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University2.84+0.21vs Predicted
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12Boston College3.92-4.92vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University3.47-4.59vs Predicted
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14Bowdoin College3.52-5.96vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University2.45-2.49vs Predicted
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16Boston University3.70-8.34vs Predicted
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17University of Connecticut1.13-0.85vs Predicted
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18Middlebury College1.50-2.83vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.4Harvard University3.050.0%1st Place
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8.09Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.620.1%1st Place
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8.1U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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7.58Brown University3.690.1%1st Place
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8.15Connecticut College3.550.1%1st Place
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8.41University of Vermont3.510.1%1st Place
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8.46Dartmouth College3.490.1%1st Place
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7.43Tufts University3.730.1%1st Place
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10.65University of Rhode Island2.950.0%1st Place
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7.49Yale University3.800.1%1st Place
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11.21Northeastern University2.840.0%1st Place
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7.08Boston College3.920.1%1st Place
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8.41Roger Williams University3.470.1%1st Place
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8.04Bowdoin College3.520.1%1st Place
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12.51Salve Regina University2.450.0%1st Place
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7.66Boston University3.700.1%1st Place
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16.15University of Connecticut1.130.0%1st Place
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15.17Middlebury College1.500.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Drumm | 4.2% | 2.7% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 10.1% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 1.8% |
| Alexander Stewart | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Nikole Barnes | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Judge Ryan | 8.1% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| IG Schottlaender | 6.7% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Jordan Factor | 6.1% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Scott Houck | 6.0% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 0.5% |
| Alejandro Ruiz-Ramon | 7.7% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Matthew Coughlin | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 6.1% | 1.7% |
| Christopher Segerblom | 8.8% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Conor Lodge | 3.9% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 12.2% | 7.4% | 3.9% |
| William Bailey | 8.6% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Connor Needham | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Michael Croteau | 7.2% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 0.3% |
| John Silvestri | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 10.3% | 15.1% | 15.0% | 6.5% |
| Ryan Astwood | 6.5% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Jennifer Lee | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 6.6% | 18.8% | 53.8% |
| Jack Kerby-Miller | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 11.9% | 29.1% | 29.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.