← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65+7.03vs Predicted
-
2University of Vermont3.51+6.60vs Predicted
-
3Harvard University3.05+7.47vs Predicted
-
4Bowdoin College3.52+4.26vs Predicted
-
5Salve Regina University2.45+7.40vs Predicted
-
6Brown University3.69+1.68vs Predicted
-
7Yale University3.80+0.24vs Predicted
-
8Dartmouth College3.49+0.41vs Predicted
-
9Boston University3.70-1.46vs Predicted
-
10Tufts University3.73-2.27vs Predicted
-
11Roger Williams University3.47-2.33vs Predicted
-
12Connecticut College3.55-3.41vs Predicted
-
13University of Connecticut1.13+2.93vs Predicted
-
14Northeastern University2.84-3.18vs Predicted
-
15University of Rhode Island2.95-4.41vs Predicted
-
16Middlebury College1.50-0.66vs Predicted
-
17Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.62-8.92vs Predicted
-
18Boston College3.92-11.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
8.03U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
-
8.6University of Vermont3.510.1%1st Place
-
10.47Harvard University3.050.0%1st Place
-
8.26Bowdoin College3.520.1%1st Place
-
12.4Salve Regina University2.450.0%1st Place
-
7.68Brown University3.690.1%1st Place
-
7.24Yale University3.800.1%1st Place
-
8.41Dartmouth College3.490.1%1st Place
-
7.54Boston University3.700.1%1st Place
-
7.73Tufts University3.730.1%1st Place
-
8.67Roger Williams University3.470.1%1st Place
-
8.59Connecticut College3.550.1%1st Place
-
15.93University of Connecticut1.130.0%1st Place
-
10.82Northeastern University2.840.0%1st Place
-
10.59University of Rhode Island2.950.0%1st Place
-
15.34Middlebury College1.500.0%1st Place
-
8.08Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.620.1%1st Place
-
6.61Boston College3.920.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikole Barnes | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| Jordan Factor | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 0.5% |
| Michael Drumm | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 4.6% | 1.0% |
| Michael Croteau | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 0.6% |
| John Silvestri | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 15.6% | 14.3% | 7.3% |
| Judge Ryan | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Christopher Segerblom | 8.3% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Scott Houck | 5.6% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 0.6% |
| Ryan Astwood | 6.8% | 9.3% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Alejandro Ruiz-Ramon | 8.9% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Connor Needham | 6.7% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| IG Schottlaender | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 0.6% |
| Jennifer Lee | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 7.2% | 21.5% | 48.6% |
| Conor Lodge | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 11.1% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 3.7% |
| Matthew Coughlin | 3.5% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 2.1% |
| Jack Kerby-Miller | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 11.5% | 26.4% | 33.0% |
| Alexander Stewart | 8.2% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| William Bailey | 9.5% | 8.4% | 10.3% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.