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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.62+7.16vs Predicted
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2Boston College4.01+4.60vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College3.55+5.46vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College3.52+4.27vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College3.49+3.43vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65+1.87vs Predicted
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7Harvard University3.05+3.23vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island2.95+2.56vs Predicted
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9Yale University3.80-1.79vs Predicted
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10Boston University3.70-2.11vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont3.51-2.49vs Predicted
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12Brown University3.69-3.96vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University2.45-0.60vs Predicted
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14Middlebury College1.50+1.12vs Predicted
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15Tufts University3.73-7.59vs Predicted
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16Roger Williams University3.47-7.36vs Predicted
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17Northeastern University2.84-5.77vs Predicted
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18University of Connecticut1.13-2.03vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.16Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.620.1%1st Place
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6.6Boston College4.010.1%1st Place
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8.46Connecticut College3.550.1%1st Place
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8.27Bowdoin College3.520.1%1st Place
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8.43Dartmouth College3.490.1%1st Place
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7.87U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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10.23Harvard University3.050.0%1st Place
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10.56University of Rhode Island2.950.0%1st Place
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7.21Yale University3.800.1%1st Place
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7.89Boston University3.700.1%1st Place
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8.51University of Vermont3.510.1%1st Place
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8.04Brown University3.690.1%1st Place
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12.4Salve Regina University2.450.0%1st Place
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15.12Middlebury College1.500.0%1st Place
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7.41Tufts University3.730.1%1st Place
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8.64Roger Williams University3.470.0%1st Place
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11.23Northeastern University2.840.0%1st Place
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15.97University of Connecticut1.130.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexander Stewart | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 0.3% |
| Erika Reineke | 7.9% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| IG Schottlaender | 6.4% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Michael Croteau | 6.3% | 8.5% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 0.7% |
| Scott Houck | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 0.5% |
| Nikole Barnes | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Michael Drumm | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 6.3% | 0.9% |
| Matthew Coughlin | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 10.1% | 10.7% | 6.0% | 2.0% |
| Christopher Segerblom | 7.7% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Astwood | 8.1% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Jordan Factor | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 0.5% |
| Judge Ryan | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| John Silvestri | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 8.0% | 10.5% | 14.0% | 14.7% | 7.4% |
| Jack Kerby-Miller | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 25.6% | 31.6% |
| Alejandro Ruiz-Ramon | 8.4% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Connor Needham | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 0.8% |
| Conor Lodge | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 12.4% | 8.1% | 3.4% |
| Jennifer Lee | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 5.0% | 7.6% | 19.5% | 50.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.