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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College4.01+5.82vs Predicted
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2Yale University4.08+4.52vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College3.52+5.75vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College3.55+4.24vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University2.84+6.13vs Predicted
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6Boston University3.70+1.81vs Predicted
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7Harvard University3.05+3.38vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont3.51+0.46vs Predicted
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9Tufts University3.73-1.42vs Predicted
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10Brown University3.69-1.93vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island2.95-0.05vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.62-3.58vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College3.49-4.53vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University2.45-1.66vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University3.73-7.36vs Predicted
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16U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65-7.96vs Predicted
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17University of Connecticut1.13-0.88vs Predicted
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18Middlebury College1.50-2.77vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.82Boston College4.010.1%1st Place
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6.52Yale University4.080.1%1st Place
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8.75Bowdoin College3.520.1%1st Place
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8.24Connecticut College3.550.1%1st Place
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11.13Northeastern University2.840.0%1st Place
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7.81Boston University3.700.1%1st Place
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10.38Harvard University3.050.0%1st Place
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8.46University of Vermont3.510.1%1st Place
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7.58Tufts University3.730.1%1st Place
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8.07Brown University3.690.1%1st Place
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10.95University of Rhode Island2.950.0%1st Place
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8.42Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.620.1%1st Place
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8.47Dartmouth College3.490.1%1st Place
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12.34Salve Regina University2.450.0%1st Place
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7.64Roger Williams University3.730.1%1st Place
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8.04U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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16.12University of Connecticut1.130.0%1st Place
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15.23Middlebury College1.500.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erika Reineke | 9.1% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Ian Barrows | 8.8% | 9.0% | 10.6% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Michael Croteau | 5.8% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 0.4% |
| IG Schottlaender | 6.1% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| Conor Lodge | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 3.4% |
| Ryan Astwood | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Michael Drumm | 4.1% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 2.0% |
| Jordan Factor | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Alejandro Ruiz-Ramon | 7.1% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Judge Ryan | 7.5% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Coughlin | 3.9% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 7.8% | 3.0% |
| Alexander Stewart | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Scott Houck | 7.4% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| John Silvestri | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 9.6% | 15.0% | 14.0% | 6.9% |
| Connor Corgard | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Nikole Barnes | 5.5% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Jennifer Lee | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 8.3% | 18.9% | 52.4% |
| Jack Kerby-Miller | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 12.2% | 28.4% | 29.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.