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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University2.90+6.87vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.92+5.92vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College4.05+1.39vs Predicted
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4Tufts University4.08+0.45vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University2.54+4.37vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42+0.37vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College2.70+1.89vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College3.78-2.90vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.24+1.24vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont3.51-3.99vs Predicted
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11Maine Maritime Academy1.30+1.99vs Predicted
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12Bates College2.43-2.32vs Predicted
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13University of New Hampshire1.81-1.31vs Predicted
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14University of Connecticut2.59-4.96vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island2.64-5.94vs Predicted
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17Northeastern University1.39-4.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.87Boston University2.900.0%1st Place
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7.92Roger Williams University2.920.0%1st Place
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4.39Dartmouth College4.050.2%1st Place
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4.45Tufts University4.080.2%1st Place
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9.37Salve Regina University2.540.0%1st Place
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6.37Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.1%1st Place
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8.89Bowdoin College2.700.1%1st Place
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5.1Connecticut College3.780.1%1st Place
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10.24Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.240.0%1st Place
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6.01University of Vermont3.510.1%1st Place
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12.99Maine Maritime Academy1.300.0%1st Place
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9.68Bates College2.430.0%1st Place
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11.69University of New Hampshire1.810.0%1st Place
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9.04University of Connecticut2.590.0%1st Place
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9.06University of Rhode Island2.640.0%1st Place
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12.93Northeastern University1.390.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tripp Cashel | 4.1% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 0.9% |
| Haley Powell | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 1.2% |
| Matthew Wefer | 17.1% | 15.1% | 13.0% | 12.0% | 11.1% | 9.4% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Haeger | 16.7% | 15.9% | 11.4% | 12.1% | 11.9% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Robert Lippincott | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 3.3% |
| David Alfonso | 7.6% | 7.7% | 11.1% | 10.7% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 0.2% | 0.3% |
| Billy Rohman | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 2.6% |
| Kevin Martland | 13.2% | 13.3% | 12.3% | 10.6% | 10.6% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Richard Graef | 2.6% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 11.1% | 10.6% | 9.7% | 6.5% |
| Jordan Factor | 10.2% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 11.7% | 9.9% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Max Fleischfresser | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 6.8% | 10.8% | 17.9% | 33.8% |
| Tommy Holmberg | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 4.8% |
| Neal Drake | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 10.4% | 13.4% | 15.3% | 14.2% |
| John Giuliano | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 2.2% |
| Lyle Fielding | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 5.3% | 1.9% |
| Marshall McLean | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 11.4% | 20.8% | 28.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.