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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College4.01+5.77vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.69+6.03vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College3.49+5.88vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College3.52+4.39vs Predicted
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5Boston University3.70+2.74vs Predicted
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6Harvard University3.05+4.43vs Predicted
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7Yale University4.08-0.66vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65-0.06vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University3.73-1.41vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont3.51-1.21vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College3.55-2.53vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island2.95-0.90vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University2.45-0.59vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.62-6.19vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University2.84-3.81vs Predicted
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16Tufts University3.73-8.27vs Predicted
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17University of Connecticut1.13-0.84vs Predicted
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18Middlebury College1.50-2.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.77Boston College4.010.1%1st Place
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8.03Brown University3.690.1%1st Place
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8.88Dartmouth College3.490.1%1st Place
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8.39Bowdoin College3.520.1%1st Place
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7.74Boston University3.700.1%1st Place
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10.43Harvard University3.050.0%1st Place
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6.34Yale University4.080.1%1st Place
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7.94U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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7.59Roger Williams University3.730.1%1st Place
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8.79University of Vermont3.510.1%1st Place
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8.47Connecticut College3.550.1%1st Place
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11.1University of Rhode Island2.950.0%1st Place
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12.41Salve Regina University2.450.0%1st Place
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7.81Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.620.1%1st Place
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11.19Northeastern University2.840.0%1st Place
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7.73Tufts University3.730.1%1st Place
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16.16University of Connecticut1.130.0%1st Place
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15.24Middlebury College1.500.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erika Reineke | 9.7% | 9.7% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Judge Ryan | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Scott Houck | 5.3% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 4.3% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Michael Croteau | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.9% |
| Ryan Astwood | 7.1% | 9.8% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| Michael Drumm | 3.9% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 5.5% | 2.5% |
| Ian Barrows | 10.4% | 11.2% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Nikole Barnes | 7.2% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Connor Corgard | 7.3% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Jordan Factor | 6.5% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 0.1% |
| IG Schottlaender | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 0.9% |
| Matthew Coughlin | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 12.0% | 8.5% | 2.4% |
| John Silvestri | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 17.1% | 12.4% | 6.9% |
| Alexander Stewart | 7.2% | 6.3% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Conor Lodge | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 10.7% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 2.4% |
| Alejandro Ruiz-Ramon | 6.5% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Jennifer Lee | 0.5% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 7.4% | 19.6% | 52.6% |
| Jack Kerby-Miller | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 12.4% | 29.2% | 29.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.