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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College4.01+5.86vs Predicted
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2Yale University4.08+4.53vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College3.52+5.79vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University2.84+7.12vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island3.84+2.34vs Predicted
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6Boston University3.70+1.89vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University3.73+0.75vs Predicted
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8Brown University3.69-0.13vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College3.49-0.28vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont3.51-1.14vs Predicted
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11Harvard University3.05-0.36vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.62-3.47vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65-5.09vs Predicted
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14Tufts University3.21-4.46vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College3.55-6.60vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University2.45-3.20vs Predicted
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17University of Connecticut1.13-0.80vs Predicted
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18Middlebury College1.50-2.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.86Boston College4.010.1%1st Place
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6.53Yale University4.080.1%1st Place
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8.79Bowdoin College3.520.0%1st Place
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11.12Northeastern University2.840.0%1st Place
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7.34University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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7.89Boston University3.700.1%1st Place
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7.75Roger Williams University3.730.1%1st Place
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7.87Brown University3.690.1%1st Place
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8.72Dartmouth College3.490.1%1st Place
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8.86University of Vermont3.510.1%1st Place
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10.64Harvard University3.050.0%1st Place
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8.53Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.620.1%1st Place
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7.91U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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9.54Tufts University3.210.0%1st Place
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8.4Connecticut College3.550.1%1st Place
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12.8Salve Regina University2.450.0%1st Place
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16.2University of Connecticut1.130.0%1st Place
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15.26Middlebury College1.500.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erika Reineke | 9.2% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Ian Barrows | 8.9% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Michael Croteau | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Conor Lodge | 3.0% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 10.9% | 12.9% | 7.6% | 2.9% |
| Rachel Bryer | 8.0% | 9.9% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Ryan Astwood | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Connor Corgard | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Judge Ryan | 6.7% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
| Scott Houck | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
| Jordan Factor | 6.7% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 2.4% | 0.2% |
| Michael Drumm | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 11.2% | 8.7% | 6.2% | 2.6% |
| Alexander Stewart | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 0.2% |
| Nikole Barnes | 8.0% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| David Liebenberg | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 3.8% | 1.3% |
| IG Schottlaender | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| John Silvestri | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 10.4% | 14.3% | 15.9% | 7.6% |
| Jennifer Lee | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 4.3% | 7.2% | 19.7% | 53.1% |
| Jack Kerby-Miller | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 11.3% | 29.6% | 30.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.