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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University4.08+5.76vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65+6.46vs Predicted
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3Harvard University3.05+7.95vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University3.73+3.81vs Predicted
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5Boston College4.01+1.77vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College3.55+2.66vs Predicted
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7Tufts University3.73+0.89vs Predicted
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8Brown University3.69+0.01vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College3.49-0.13vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College3.52-0.98vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont3.51-2.14vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island3.84-4.24vs Predicted
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13Middlebury College1.85+1.54vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.62-5.93vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University2.84-3.57vs Predicted
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16Boston University3.70-7.89vs Predicted
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17University of Connecticut1.13-0.69vs Predicted
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18Salve Regina University2.45-5.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.76Yale University4.080.1%1st Place
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8.46U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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10.95Harvard University3.050.0%1st Place
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7.81Roger Williams University3.730.1%1st Place
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6.77Boston College4.010.1%1st Place
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8.66Connecticut College3.550.1%1st Place
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7.89Tufts University3.730.1%1st Place
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8.01Brown University3.690.1%1st Place
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8.87Dartmouth College3.490.0%1st Place
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9.02Bowdoin College3.520.1%1st Place
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8.86University of Vermont3.510.1%1st Place
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7.76University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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14.54Middlebury College1.850.0%1st Place
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8.07Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.620.1%1st Place
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11.43Northeastern University2.840.0%1st Place
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8.11Boston University3.700.1%1st Place
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16.31University of Connecticut1.130.0%1st Place
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12.72Salve Regina University2.450.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ian Barrows | 9.0% | 10.4% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Nikole Barnes | 5.3% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 0.3% |
| Michael Drumm | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 11.1% | 8.0% | 1.6% |
| Connor Corgard | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 8.6% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.7% |
| Erika Reineke | 10.1% | 10.3% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| IG Schottlaender | 6.2% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 0.4% |
| Alejandro Ruiz-Ramon | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
| Judge Ryan | 7.2% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Scott Houck | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 1.6% | 0.9% |
| Michael Croteau | 6.8% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 0.5% |
| Jordan Factor | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 0.9% |
| Rachel Bryer | 7.5% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Nicholas Dragone | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 12.2% | 24.6% | 24.3% |
| Alexander Stewart | 6.8% | 5.9% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Conor Lodge | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 12.6% | 9.1% | 4.1% |
| Ryan Astwood | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 2.0% | 0.4% |
| Jennifer Lee | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 5.8% | 19.2% | 56.4% |
| John Silvestri | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 10.6% | 15.2% | 15.8% | 8.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.