← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Bowdoin College3.52+7.89vs Predicted
-
2Harvard University3.05+8.93vs Predicted
-
3Tufts University3.73+5.18vs Predicted
-
4Brown University3.69+3.95vs Predicted
-
5Roger Williams University3.73+2.86vs Predicted
-
6Boston University3.70+2.02vs Predicted
-
7Connecticut College3.55+1.59vs Predicted
-
8Yale University4.08-1.46vs Predicted
-
9Boston College4.01-2.24vs Predicted
-
10University of Rhode Island3.84-2.26vs Predicted
-
11U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65-2.62vs Predicted
-
12Northeastern University2.84-0.18vs Predicted
-
13Salve Regina University2.45-0.28vs Predicted
-
14Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.62-5.92vs Predicted
-
15University of Vermont3.51-6.29vs Predicted
-
16Dartmouth College3.49-7.03vs Predicted
-
17University of Connecticut1.13-0.71vs Predicted
-
18Middlebury College1.85-3.44vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
8.89Bowdoin College3.520.1%1st Place
-
10.93Harvard University3.050.0%1st Place
-
8.18Tufts University3.730.1%1st Place
-
7.95Brown University3.690.1%1st Place
-
7.86Roger Williams University3.730.1%1st Place
-
8.02Boston University3.700.1%1st Place
-
8.59Connecticut College3.550.1%1st Place
-
6.54Yale University4.080.1%1st Place
-
6.76Boston College4.010.1%1st Place
-
7.74University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
-
8.38U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
-
11.82Northeastern University2.840.0%1st Place
-
12.72Salve Regina University2.450.0%1st Place
-
8.08Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.620.1%1st Place
-
8.71University of Vermont3.510.1%1st Place
-
8.97Dartmouth College3.490.1%1st Place
-
16.29University of Connecticut1.130.0%1st Place
-
14.56Middlebury College1.850.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Croteau | 5.4% | 4.2% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 0.4% |
| Michael Drumm | 2.7% | 1.9% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 10.7% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 6.9% | 2.3% |
| Alejandro Ruiz-Ramon | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Judge Ryan | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Connor Corgard | 7.2% | 9.1% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Ryan Astwood | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| IG Schottlaender | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 0.3% |
| Ian Barrows | 10.0% | 10.7% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Erika Reineke | 9.1% | 10.5% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Rachel Bryer | 8.1% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Nikole Barnes | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.7% |
| Conor Lodge | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 13.9% | 12.0% | 4.4% |
| John Silvestri | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 11.1% | 14.8% | 16.5% | 8.4% |
| Alexander Stewart | 6.4% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 0.5% |
| Jordan Factor | 5.6% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 2.6% | 0.5% |
| Scott Houck | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 0.6% |
| Jennifer Lee | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 16.4% | 58.2% |
| Nicholas Dragone | 1.8% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 14.8% | 24.5% | 22.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.