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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.51+1.48vs Predicted
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2Fairfield University0.73+1.48vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University1.39-0.40vs Predicted
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4Yale University0.36+0.10vs Predicted
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5Williams College-0.90+0.86vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University0.18-1.63vs Predicted
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7Worcester Polytechnic Institute-0.27-1.89vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.48Tufts University1.5130.2%1st Place
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3.48Fairfield University0.7315.5%1st Place
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2.6Northeastern University1.3928.5%1st Place
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4.1Yale University0.369.7%1st Place
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5.86Williams College-0.902.9%1st Place
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4.37Salve Regina University0.188.7%1st Place
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5.11Worcester Polytechnic Institute-0.274.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Rosow | 30.2% | 27.3% | 19.7% | 12.8% | 7.1% | 2.8% | 0.1% |
| Wilson Kaznoski | 15.5% | 17.2% | 18.2% | 19.5% | 15.7% | 10.2% | 3.9% |
| Everett Nash | 28.5% | 25.5% | 19.9% | 14.4% | 8.0% | 3.0% | 0.8% |
| Sam Rifkind-Brown | 9.7% | 11.9% | 15.8% | 17.0% | 20.3% | 17.7% | 7.5% |
| Felix Nusbaum | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 11.8% | 20.4% | 51.1% |
| Molly Hanrahan | 8.7% | 9.6% | 13.3% | 17.0% | 19.7% | 19.8% | 11.9% |
| Gabriel Tamayo | 4.5% | 5.5% | 8.6% | 13.2% | 17.5% | 26.2% | 24.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.