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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.51+1.17vs Predicted
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2Williams College-0.90+2.99vs Predicted
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3Yale University0.36+0.51vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University1.39-1.72vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University0.18-1.28vs Predicted
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6Worcester Polytechnic Institute-0.27-1.66vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.17Tufts University1.5136.6%1st Place
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4.99Williams College-0.903.0%1st Place
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3.51Yale University0.3611.1%1st Place
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2.28Northeastern University1.3932.7%1st Place
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3.72Salve Regina University0.1810.6%1st Place
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4.34Worcester Polytechnic Institute-0.276.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Rosow | 36.6% | 29.6% | 18.8% | 10.8% | 3.6% | 0.6% |
| Felix Nusbaum | 3.0% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 12.6% | 19.2% | 53.2% |
| Sam Rifkind-Brown | 11.1% | 16.8% | 20.8% | 22.3% | 20.2% | 8.9% |
| Everett Nash | 32.7% | 28.6% | 22.9% | 10.6% | 4.6% | 0.6% |
| Molly Hanrahan | 10.6% | 11.7% | 18.6% | 24.6% | 23.3% | 11.3% |
| Gabriel Tamayo | 6.0% | 7.6% | 12.8% | 19.1% | 29.1% | 25.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.