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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.51+1.21vs Predicted
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2Yale University0.36+1.58vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University0.18+0.64vs Predicted
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4Williams College-0.90+1.00vs Predicted
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5Worcester Polytechnic Institute-0.27-0.66vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University1.39-3.78vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.21Tufts University1.5135.8%1st Place
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3.58Yale University0.3610.5%1st Place
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3.64Salve Regina University0.1810.5%1st Place
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5.0Williams College-0.903.1%1st Place
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4.34Worcester Polytechnic Institute-0.275.8%1st Place
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2.22Northeastern University1.3934.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Rosow | 35.8% | 29.0% | 19.1% | 11.4% | 4.0% | 0.6% |
| Sam Rifkind-Brown | 10.5% | 14.2% | 22.1% | 22.3% | 20.9% | 9.9% |
| Molly Hanrahan | 10.5% | 13.9% | 19.5% | 23.8% | 21.8% | 10.5% |
| Felix Nusbaum | 3.1% | 4.9% | 7.6% | 10.4% | 21.1% | 52.9% |
| Gabriel Tamayo | 5.8% | 7.8% | 11.3% | 21.9% | 28.1% | 25.1% |
| Everett Nash | 34.2% | 30.2% | 20.3% | 10.2% | 4.0% | 0.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.