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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University4.08+5.81vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island3.84+5.68vs Predicted
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3Tufts University3.73+5.15vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University3.73+3.79vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65+3.20vs Predicted
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6Boston College4.01+0.82vs Predicted
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7Brown University3.69+1.09vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College3.55+0.50vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College3.49-0.15vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University2.84+1.72vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont3.51-2.04vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College3.52-2.88vs Predicted
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13Harvard University3.05-2.45vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University2.45-1.39vs Predicted
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15Boston University3.70-7.06vs Predicted
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16University of Connecticut1.13+0.29vs Predicted
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17Middlebury College1.85-2.23vs Predicted
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18Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.62-9.85vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.81Yale University4.080.1%1st Place
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7.68University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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8.15Tufts University3.730.1%1st Place
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7.79Roger Williams University3.730.1%1st Place
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8.2U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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6.82Boston College4.010.1%1st Place
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8.09Brown University3.690.1%1st Place
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8.5Connecticut College3.550.1%1st Place
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8.85Dartmouth College3.490.1%1st Place
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11.72Northeastern University2.840.0%1st Place
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8.96University of Vermont3.510.1%1st Place
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9.12Bowdoin College3.520.1%1st Place
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10.55Harvard University3.050.0%1st Place
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12.61Salve Regina University2.450.0%1st Place
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7.94Boston University3.700.1%1st Place
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16.29University of Connecticut1.130.0%1st Place
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14.77Middlebury College1.850.0%1st Place
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8.15Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.620.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ian Barrows | 9.5% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Rachel Bryer | 5.4% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Alejandro Ruiz-Ramon | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Connor Corgard | 7.5% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Nikole Barnes | 6.3% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Erika Reineke | 9.5% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Judge Ryan | 7.1% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| IG Schottlaender | 5.4% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 0.3% |
| Scott Houck | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 2.1% | 0.3% |
| Conor Lodge | 3.7% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 12.8% | 11.6% | 4.0% |
| Jordan Factor | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 0.6% |
| Michael Croteau | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 3.1% | 0.6% |
| Michael Drumm | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 2.2% |
| John Silvestri | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 9.4% | 14.7% | 16.3% | 8.6% |
| Ryan Astwood | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Jennifer Lee | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 8.4% | 16.4% | 56.5% |
| Nicholas Dragone | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 8.5% | 12.0% | 26.3% | 24.9% |
| Alexander Stewart | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 0.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.