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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University2.84+10.45vs Predicted
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2Yale University4.08+4.51vs Predicted
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3Tufts University3.73+4.91vs Predicted
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4Boston College4.01+2.54vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.69+2.80vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College3.83+1.35vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College3.52+1.50vs Predicted
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8Harvard University3.05+2.30vs Predicted
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9Boston University2.52+3.40vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65-1.76vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University3.73-3.13vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College3.55-3.21vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island3.84-5.88vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.62-6.15vs Predicted
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15University of Connecticut1.13+1.19vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University2.45-3.23vs Predicted
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17Middlebury College1.85-2.36vs Predicted
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18University of Vermont3.41-9.24vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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11.45Northeastern University2.840.0%1st Place
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6.51Yale University4.080.1%1st Place
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7.91Tufts University3.730.1%1st Place
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6.54Boston College4.010.1%1st Place
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7.8Brown University3.690.1%1st Place
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7.35Dartmouth College3.830.1%1st Place
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8.5Bowdoin College3.520.1%1st Place
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10.3Harvard University3.050.0%1st Place
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12.4Boston University2.520.0%1st Place
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8.24U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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7.87Roger Williams University3.730.1%1st Place
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8.79Connecticut College3.550.1%1st Place
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7.12University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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7.85Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.620.1%1st Place
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16.19University of Connecticut1.130.0%1st Place
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12.77Salve Regina University2.450.0%1st Place
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14.64Middlebury College1.850.0%1st Place
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8.76University of Vermont3.410.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conor Lodge | 3.0% | 2.1% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 11.2% | 9.7% | 4.2% |
| Ian Barrows | 8.0% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 10.5% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Alejandro Ruiz-Ramon | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Erika Reineke | 10.4% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Judge Ryan | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Deirdre Lambert | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Michael Croteau | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| Michael Drumm | 3.8% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 4.9% | 1.9% |
| Nicholas Arabia | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 10.7% | 15.4% | 13.8% | 5.2% |
| Nikole Barnes | 7.5% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Connor Corgard | 6.8% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| IG Schottlaender | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 4.0% | 1.6% | 0.9% |
| Rachel Bryer | 8.7% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Alexander Stewart | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 0.0% |
| Jennifer Lee | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 4.6% | 8.6% | 16.6% | 54.2% |
| John Silvestri | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 10.5% | 9.3% | 12.3% | 16.7% | 8.3% |
| Nicholas Dragone | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 13.0% | 25.1% | 22.7% |
| Nate Jermain | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 0.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.