← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Northeastern University1.39+1.21vs Predicted
-
2Tufts University1.51+0.19vs Predicted
-
3Salve Regina University0.18+0.69vs Predicted
-
4Yale University0.36-0.47vs Predicted
-
5Worcester Polytechnic Institute-0.27-0.61vs Predicted
-
6Williams College-0.90-1.01vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.21Northeastern University1.3935.1%1st Place
-
2.19Tufts University1.5134.7%1st Place
-
3.69Salve Regina University0.1810.7%1st Place
-
3.53Yale University0.3610.7%1st Place
-
4.39Worcester Polytechnic Institute-0.275.9%1st Place
-
4.99Williams College-0.903.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Everett Nash | 35.1% | 30.3% | 18.6% | 11.3% | 3.5% | 1.1% |
| Connor Rosow | 34.7% | 30.6% | 20.5% | 9.6% | 4.2% | 0.4% |
| Molly Hanrahan | 10.7% | 12.5% | 18.7% | 24.3% | 23.2% | 10.7% |
| Sam Rifkind-Brown | 10.7% | 14.4% | 22.9% | 23.9% | 19.7% | 8.3% |
| Gabriel Tamayo | 5.9% | 6.8% | 12.2% | 19.2% | 28.9% | 27.0% |
| Felix Nusbaum | 3.0% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 11.6% | 20.5% | 52.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.