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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University4.08+5.60vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65+6.26vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island3.84+4.42vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.62+4.07vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College3.55+3.38vs Predicted
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6Boston College4.01+0.67vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College3.83+0.33vs Predicted
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8Tufts University3.73-0.35vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University3.73-1.38vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College3.52-1.19vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont3.41-1.94vs Predicted
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12Brown University3.69-3.80vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University2.45-0.50vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University2.84-3.05vs Predicted
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15Harvard University3.05-4.61vs Predicted
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16Middlebury College1.85-1.36vs Predicted
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17University of Connecticut1.13-0.80vs Predicted
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18Boston University2.52-5.75vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.6Yale University4.080.1%1st Place
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8.26U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.0%1st Place
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7.42University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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8.07Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.620.1%1st Place
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8.38Connecticut College3.550.1%1st Place
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6.67Boston College4.010.1%1st Place
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7.33Dartmouth College3.830.1%1st Place
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7.65Tufts University3.730.1%1st Place
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7.62Roger Williams University3.730.1%1st Place
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8.81Bowdoin College3.520.1%1st Place
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9.06University of Vermont3.410.1%1st Place
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8.2Brown University3.690.1%1st Place
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12.5Salve Regina University2.450.0%1st Place
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10.95Northeastern University2.840.0%1st Place
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10.39Harvard University3.050.0%1st Place
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14.64Middlebury College1.850.0%1st Place
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16.2University of Connecticut1.130.0%1st Place
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12.25Boston University2.520.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ian Barrows | 9.6% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Nikole Barnes | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Rachel Bryer | 8.1% | 5.4% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Stewart | 7.1% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 0.9% |
| IG Schottlaender | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 0.1% |
| Erika Reineke | 9.4% | 10.0% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Deirdre Lambert | 7.8% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Alejandro Ruiz-Ramon | 7.1% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 8.6% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Connor Corgard | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Michael Croteau | 6.5% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 2.3% | 0.3% |
| Nate Jermain | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 2.2% | 1.0% |
| Judge Ryan | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| John Silvestri | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 14.8% | 15.4% | 7.3% |
| Conor Lodge | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 9.9% | 7.2% | 3.2% |
| Michael Drumm | 3.7% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 5.6% | 2.4% |
| Nicholas Dragone | 1.1% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 8.7% | 12.9% | 24.9% | 22.9% |
| Jennifer Lee | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 7.8% | 17.2% | 55.3% |
| Nicholas Arabia | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 11.1% | 14.0% | 12.8% | 5.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.