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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.51+1.21vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University1.39+0.20vs Predicted
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3Worcester Polytechnic Institute-0.27+1.29vs Predicted
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4Williams College-0.90+1.05vs Predicted
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5Yale University0.36-1.48vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University0.18-2.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.21Tufts University1.5134.7%1st Place
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2.2Northeastern University1.3935.0%1st Place
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4.29Worcester Polytechnic Institute-0.276.5%1st Place
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5.05Williams College-0.902.8%1st Place
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3.52Yale University0.3611.5%1st Place
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3.73Salve Regina University0.189.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Rosow | 34.7% | 30.0% | 20.1% | 10.8% | 3.6% | 0.8% |
| Everett Nash | 35.0% | 30.6% | 19.7% | 10.0% | 4.1% | 0.7% |
| Gabriel Tamayo | 6.5% | 8.1% | 13.1% | 18.8% | 29.2% | 24.4% |
| Felix Nusbaum | 2.8% | 4.0% | 7.2% | 11.3% | 20.5% | 54.0% |
| Sam Rifkind-Brown | 11.5% | 15.8% | 19.7% | 24.4% | 19.9% | 8.8% |
| Molly Hanrahan | 9.5% | 11.6% | 20.3% | 24.8% | 22.7% | 11.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.