← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Ohio State University0.64+0.95vs Predicted
-
2University of Michigan-1.04+2.03vs Predicted
-
3Michigan Technological University-0.55+0.30vs Predicted
-
4University of Notre Dame-0.16-1.17vs Predicted
-
5Marquette University-3.39+2.17vs Predicted
-
6Michigan Technological University-2.29-0.17vs Predicted
-
7Western Michigan University-2.31-1.04vs Predicted
-
8Michigan State University-1.65-3.06vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
1.95Ohio State University0.6444.0%1st Place
-
4.03University of Michigan-1.049.8%1st Place
-
3.3Michigan Technological University-0.5514.5%1st Place
-
2.83University of Notre Dame-0.1620.8%1st Place
-
7.17Marquette University-3.391.0%1st Place
-
5.83Michigan Technological University-2.292.2%1st Place
-
5.96Western Michigan University-2.312.4%1st Place
-
4.94Michigan State University-1.655.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Emma Hershey | 44.0% | 30.4% | 15.8% | 7.1% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Connor Caplis | 9.8% | 11.8% | 15.1% | 21.6% | 20.9% | 13.6% | 6.1% | 1.1% |
Gavin Parsons | 14.5% | 17.8% | 24.8% | 20.0% | 14.4% | 6.7% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
Chris Mikesell | 20.8% | 25.1% | 22.6% | 18.0% | 9.8% | 3.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
Elizabeth Lothian | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 4.9% | 9.0% | 18.2% | 61.7% |
Astrid Myhre | 2.2% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 9.1% | 12.8% | 22.1% | 29.5% | 14.5% |
Kate Heaman | 2.4% | 2.5% | 5.4% | 8.3% | 13.2% | 21.8% | 28.9% | 17.4% |
Thomas Weykamp | 5.3% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 13.4% | 22.1% | 22.8% | 15.2% | 5.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.