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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont3.51+4.91vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College4.05+2.40vs Predicted
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3Tufts University4.08+1.31vs Predicted
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4Boston University2.90+4.18vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College2.70+2.79vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University2.92+1.03vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.24+2.36vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island2.64-0.20vs Predicted
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10University of Connecticut2.59-0.97vs Predicted
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11Bates College2.43-1.24vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College3.78-6.82vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University2.54-3.72vs Predicted
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14University of New Hampshire1.81-2.35vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University1.39-2.20vs Predicted
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16Maine Maritime Academy1.32-2.86vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42-10.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.91University of Vermont3.510.1%1st Place
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4.4Dartmouth College4.050.2%1st Place
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4.31Tufts University4.080.2%1st Place
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8.18Boston University2.900.0%1st Place
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8.79Bowdoin College2.700.0%1st Place
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8.03Roger Williams University2.920.0%1st Place
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10.36Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.240.0%1st Place
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8.8University of Rhode Island2.640.0%1st Place
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9.03University of Connecticut2.590.0%1st Place
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9.76Bates College2.430.0%1st Place
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5.18Connecticut College3.780.1%1st Place
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9.28Salve Regina University2.540.0%1st Place
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11.65University of New Hampshire1.810.0%1st Place
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12.8Northeastern University1.390.0%1st Place
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13.14Maine Maritime Academy1.320.0%1st Place
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6.38Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Factor | 9.5% | 11.3% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 10.8% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.4% |
| Matthew Wefer | 17.0% | 15.6% | 14.0% | 11.2% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Haeger | 16.3% | 16.3% | 13.4% | 13.8% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Tripp Cashel | 4.1% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 2.7% | 1.2% |
| Billy Rohman | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 4.6% | 1.8% |
| Haley Powell | 4.1% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 10.0% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 1.0% |
| Richard Graef | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 11.1% | 12.8% | 9.0% | 7.0% |
| Lyle Fielding | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 2.0% |
| John Giuliano | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 3.4% |
| Tommy Holmberg | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 11.6% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 3.4% |
| Kevin Martland | 14.4% | 11.9% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Robert Lippincott | 3.3% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 3.1% |
| Neal Drake | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 11.6% | 10.2% | 15.4% | 15.2% |
| Marshall McLean | 1.4% | 0.5% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 13.2% | 17.2% | 28.2% |
| Tyler Nemsdale | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 10.6% | 19.2% | 33.1% |
| David Alfonso | 8.2% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.