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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.51+1.14vs Predicted
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2Williams College-0.90+2.97vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University1.39-0.75vs Predicted
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4Salve Regina University0.18-0.28vs Predicted
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5Yale University0.36-1.42vs Predicted
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6Worcester Polytechnic Institute-0.27-1.66vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.14Tufts University1.5137.5%1st Place
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4.97Williams College-0.903.6%1st Place
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2.25Northeastern University1.3932.2%1st Place
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3.72Salve Regina University0.189.8%1st Place
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3.58Yale University0.3610.2%1st Place
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4.34Worcester Polytechnic Institute-0.276.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Rosow | 37.5% | 29.3% | 19.6% | 9.7% | 3.5% | 0.5% |
| Felix Nusbaum | 3.6% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 11.8% | 20.2% | 52.3% |
| Everett Nash | 32.2% | 30.9% | 21.4% | 10.8% | 4.0% | 0.6% |
| Molly Hanrahan | 9.8% | 13.0% | 18.3% | 24.6% | 23.4% | 10.9% |
| Sam Rifkind-Brown | 10.2% | 14.8% | 21.1% | 23.8% | 20.4% | 9.8% |
| Gabriel Tamayo | 6.7% | 7.1% | 12.3% | 19.4% | 28.5% | 25.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.