← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Michigan2.97+1.74vs Predicted
-
2University of Notre Dame2.27+1.83vs Predicted
-
4University of Minnesota2.53-0.62vs Predicted
-
5Indiana University1.500.00vs Predicted
-
6University of Wisconsin3.36-3.72vs Predicted
-
7Western Michigan University0.34-0.42vs Predicted
-
8Northwestern University1.28-2.63vs Predicted
-
9Miami University0.10-2.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.74University of Michigan2.970.2%1st Place
-
3.83University of Notre Dame2.270.1%1st Place
-
3.38University of Minnesota2.530.1%1st Place
-
5.0Indiana University1.500.1%1st Place
-
2.28University of Wisconsin3.360.4%1st Place
-
6.58Western Michigan University0.340.0%1st Place
-
5.37Northwestern University1.280.0%1st Place
-
6.83Miami University0.100.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Ramos | 25.0% | 23.4% | 23.2% | 15.6% | 8.3% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Mike Flanigan | 12.0% | 12.2% | 17.9% | 21.9% | 17.7% | 12.3% | 5.2% | 0.8% |
| Drake Lundeen | 14.8% | 19.1% | 20.3% | 19.9% | 14.1% | 8.9% | 2.3% | 0.6% |
| Najwa Jumali | 5.2% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 12.3% | 21.0% | 24.3% | 14.9% | 6.1% |
| George Kutschenreuter | 36.2% | 27.5% | 17.2% | 12.5% | 5.3% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Ryan Mabie | 1.4% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 9.5% | 15.8% | 27.7% | 36.6% |
| Ryan Anderson | 4.4% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 10.2% | 18.9% | 22.7% | 19.5% | 11.5% |
| Max Burson | 1.0% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 11.8% | 28.9% | 44.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.