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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.51+1.17vs Predicted
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2Williams College-0.90+3.00vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University1.39-0.79vs Predicted
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4Yale University0.36-0.46vs Predicted
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5Worcester Polytechnic Institute-0.27-0.61vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University0.18-2.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.17Tufts University1.5135.5%1st Place
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5.0Williams College-0.903.4%1st Place
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2.21Northeastern University1.3933.8%1st Place
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3.54Yale University0.3611.7%1st Place
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4.39Worcester Polytechnic Institute-0.275.5%1st Place
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3.69Salve Regina University0.1810.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Rosow | 35.5% | 31.1% | 18.8% | 10.3% | 3.9% | 0.4% |
| Felix Nusbaum | 3.4% | 4.2% | 7.8% | 10.8% | 21.3% | 52.4% |
| Everett Nash | 33.8% | 30.6% | 21.1% | 10.7% | 3.2% | 0.7% |
| Sam Rifkind-Brown | 11.7% | 14.0% | 20.6% | 25.6% | 19.0% | 9.2% |
| Gabriel Tamayo | 5.5% | 8.1% | 11.8% | 17.6% | 30.6% | 26.5% |
| Molly Hanrahan | 10.3% | 12.1% | 19.9% | 24.9% | 22.0% | 10.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.