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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.6
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University1.39+1.21vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.51+0.19vs Predicted
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3Yale University0.36+0.53vs Predicted
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4Salve Regina University0.18-0.26vs Predicted
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5Worcester Polytechnic Institute-0.27-0.72vs Predicted
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6Williams College-0.90-0.96vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.21Northeastern University1.3934.6%1st Place
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2.19Tufts University1.5135.0%1st Place
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3.53Yale University0.3611.2%1st Place
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3.74Salve Regina University0.1810.1%1st Place
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4.28Worcester Polytechnic Institute-0.276.5%1st Place
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5.04Williams College-0.902.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Everett Nash | 34.6% | 29.9% | 19.6% | 12.0% | 3.2% | 0.7% |
| Connor Rosow | 35.0% | 30.0% | 20.4% | 10.7% | 3.4% | 0.5% |
| Sam Rifkind-Brown | 11.2% | 15.6% | 20.4% | 23.8% | 19.9% | 9.2% |
| Molly Hanrahan | 10.1% | 12.0% | 18.5% | 24.6% | 22.6% | 12.2% |
| Gabriel Tamayo | 6.5% | 8.2% | 13.1% | 18.4% | 30.5% | 23.3% |
| Felix Nusbaum | 2.5% | 4.3% | 8.0% | 10.5% | 20.4% | 54.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.