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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Minnesota1.95+2.37vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin3.19+0.01vs Predicted
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3University of Michigan3.02-0.83vs Predicted
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4Northwestern University1.16+0.48vs Predicted
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5University of Notre Dame1.12-0.47vs Predicted
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6Western Michigan University0.51-0.72vs Predicted
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8University of Iowa-1.19-0.88vs Predicted
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9Miami University-1.13-1.95vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.37University of Minnesota1.950.1%1st Place
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2.01University of Wisconsin3.190.4%1st Place
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2.17University of Michigan3.020.3%1st Place
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4.48Northwestern University1.160.1%1st Place
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4.53University of Notre Dame1.120.0%1st Place
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5.28Western Michigan University0.510.0%1st Place
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7.12University of Iowa-1.190.0%1st Place
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7.05Miami University-1.130.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Grosch | 11.8% | 16.3% | 28.2% | 20.3% | 15.4% | 6.6% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Michael Lee | 40.3% | 31.6% | 17.6% | 8.4% | 1.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Seago | 33.9% | 33.2% | 20.6% | 7.7% | 3.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Travis Cottle | 5.5% | 6.9% | 12.1% | 20.2% | 27.9% | 20.4% | 6.3% | 0.7% |
| John Schneider | 4.6% | 5.8% | 12.7% | 24.0% | 23.5% | 22.1% | 6.0% | 1.3% |
| Jack Greve | 3.1% | 3.6% | 6.5% | 13.9% | 20.1% | 32.2% | 16.1% | 4.5% |
| Nicholas Searles | 0.6% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 8.7% | 31.2% | 50.9% |
| Samuel Werley | 0.2% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 9.2% | 39.0% | 42.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.