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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Minnesota1.95+2.37vs Predicted
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2University of Michigan3.02+0.18vs Predicted
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3University of Wisconsin3.19-1.02vs Predicted
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4University of Notre Dame1.12+0.54vs Predicted
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5University of Iowa-1.19+2.16vs Predicted
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6Western Michigan University0.51-0.73vs Predicted
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8Northwestern University1.16-3.53vs Predicted
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9Miami University-1.13-1.97vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.37University of Minnesota1.950.1%1st Place
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2.18University of Michigan3.020.3%1st Place
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1.98University of Wisconsin3.190.4%1st Place
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4.54University of Notre Dame1.120.0%1st Place
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7.16University of Iowa-1.190.0%1st Place
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5.27Western Michigan University0.510.0%1st Place
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4.47Northwestern University1.160.1%1st Place
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7.03Miami University-1.130.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Grosch | 11.4% | 16.6% | 26.8% | 22.9% | 14.8% | 6.3% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Ryan Seago | 32.3% | 35.2% | 19.5% | 8.9% | 3.3% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Lee | 42.7% | 29.4% | 18.5% | 6.7% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Schneider | 4.4% | 7.6% | 11.5% | 20.1% | 28.3% | 19.2% | 7.9% | 1.0% |
| Nicholas Searles | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 9.6% | 31.4% | 50.7% |
| Jack Greve | 2.9% | 3.7% | 6.7% | 14.1% | 19.4% | 33.4% | 15.4% | 4.4% |
| Travis Cottle | 5.5% | 6.0% | 14.1% | 21.8% | 24.3% | 20.5% | 7.0% | 0.8% |
| Samuel Werley | 0.2% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 9.7% | 37.2% | 43.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.