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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Notre Dame-0.16+1.80vs Predicted
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2Western Michigan University-2.31+3.90vs Predicted
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3Ohio State University0.64-1.05vs Predicted
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4Michigan Technological University-0.55-0.71vs Predicted
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5Michigan Technological University-2.29+0.88vs Predicted
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6Marquette University-3.39+1.16vs Predicted
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7Michigan State University-1.65-2.02vs Predicted
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8University of Michigan-1.04-3.97vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.8University of Notre Dame-0.1621.1%1st Place
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5.9Western Michigan University-2.312.1%1st Place
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1.95Ohio State University0.6444.5%1st Place
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3.29Michigan Technological University-0.5515.6%1st Place
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5.88Michigan Technological University-2.292.5%1st Place
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7.16Marquette University-3.390.7%1st Place
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4.98Michigan State University-1.654.8%1st Place
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4.03University of Michigan-1.048.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Mikesell | 21.1% | 25.9% | 22.8% | 17.5% | 8.2% | 3.5% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Kate Heaman | 2.1% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 7.8% | 14.6% | 21.8% | 29.6% | 15.5% |
| Emma Hershey | 44.5% | 29.4% | 16.4% | 6.7% | 2.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Gavin Parsons | 15.6% | 18.4% | 22.8% | 19.3% | 14.8% | 7.0% | 2.1% | 0.1% |
| Astrid Myhre | 2.5% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 9.0% | 13.7% | 22.5% | 28.1% | 16.1% |
| Elizabeth Lothian | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 5.5% | 9.6% | 16.1% | 62.4% |
| Thomas Weykamp | 4.8% | 6.2% | 9.6% | 14.9% | 20.8% | 22.2% | 16.5% | 4.9% |
| Connor Caplis | 8.8% | 11.8% | 16.9% | 21.8% | 20.0% | 13.0% | 6.6% | 1.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.