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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.92+6.87vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42+4.30vs Predicted
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3Tufts University4.08+1.40vs Predicted
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4Boston University2.90+4.20vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College4.05-0.52vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College2.70+2.79vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.24+3.31vs Predicted
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8Bates College2.43+1.57vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont3.51-2.98vs Predicted
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10University of New Hampshire1.81+1.73vs Predicted
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11Salve Regina University2.54-1.80vs Predicted
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12University of Connecticut2.59-2.85vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College3.78-7.89vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island2.64-5.19vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University1.39-2.07vs Predicted
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17Maine Maritime Academy1.32-3.86vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.87Roger Williams University2.920.1%1st Place
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6.3Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.1%1st Place
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4.4Tufts University4.080.2%1st Place
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8.2Boston University2.900.0%1st Place
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4.48Dartmouth College4.050.2%1st Place
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8.79Bowdoin College2.700.0%1st Place
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10.31Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.240.0%1st Place
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9.57Bates College2.430.0%1st Place
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6.02University of Vermont3.510.1%1st Place
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11.73University of New Hampshire1.810.0%1st Place
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9.2Salve Regina University2.540.0%1st Place
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9.15University of Connecticut2.590.0%1st Place
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5.11Connecticut College3.780.1%1st Place
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8.81University of Rhode Island2.640.0%1st Place
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12.93Northeastern University1.390.0%1st Place
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13.14Maine Maritime Academy1.320.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Haley Powell | 5.0% | 5.3% | 8.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 2.7% | 0.8% |
| David Alfonso | 8.6% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| William Haeger | 17.9% | 13.3% | 13.8% | 12.0% | 11.1% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Tripp Cashel | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 3.0% | 1.1% |
| Matthew Wefer | 16.3% | 14.8% | 13.2% | 12.6% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Billy Rohman | 4.1% | 2.8% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 5.3% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 2.9% |
| Richard Graef | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 11.9% | 10.0% | 6.3% |
| Tommy Holmberg | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 12.1% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 3.2% |
| Jordan Factor | 9.3% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 10.9% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.4% |
| Neal Drake | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 13.9% | 14.4% | 15.9% |
| Robert Lippincott | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 2.5% |
| John Giuliano | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 2.8% |
| Kevin Martland | 11.3% | 14.4% | 11.1% | 12.6% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Lyle Fielding | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 1.8% |
| Marshall McLean | 1.4% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 20.3% | 29.4% |
| Tyler Nemsdale | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 12.5% | 17.7% | 32.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.