Race 3A

rollins-south-points

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Brendan Smucker 14.6% 14.6% 13.1% 12.8% 10.8% 13.4% 8.5% 6.8% 4.5% 1.0%
Cameron Robinson 12.3% 14.0% 12.0% 12.2% 12.8% 11.1% 10.1% 8.4% 5.6% 1.5%
Ryan Mullins 16.6% 14.5% 13.3% 12.0% 10.8% 10.0% 9.8% 7.8% 3.8% 1.5%
Hilton Kamps 10.3% 10.3% 11.2% 11.2% 11.2% 10.3% 12.1% 10.8% 8.2% 4.3%
Camden Sullivan 12.2% 10.8% 11.3% 13.3% 11.3% 10.2% 10.9% 9.8% 6.9% 3.2%
Hella Kornatzki 9.2% 10.7% 11.7% 10.2% 12.1% 11.3% 11.2% 10.7% 8.9% 4.0%
Tanner Cummings 2.9% 3.8% 3.7% 4.2% 6.0% 5.1% 8.1% 12.2% 21.3% 32.7%
Robert Newland 10.5% 10.5% 9.9% 11.2% 10.7% 11.1% 11.9% 11.2% 9.4% 3.6%
Lucien Parker 9.6% 8.4% 10.8% 9.8% 10.3% 12.0% 10.4% 13.2% 11.0% 4.6%
Griffin Pollis 1.8% 2.4% 3.0% 3.1% 4.0% 5.5% 7.0% 9.2% 20.3% 43.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.