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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Michigan3.02+1.13vs Predicted
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2University of Minnesota1.95+1.46vs Predicted
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3University of Wisconsin3.19-1.01vs Predicted
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4Northwestern University1.16+0.45vs Predicted
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5University of Notre Dame1.12-0.49vs Predicted
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6Western Michigan University0.51-0.71vs Predicted
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8University of Iowa-1.19-0.87vs Predicted
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9Miami University-1.13-1.96vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.13University of Michigan3.020.4%1st Place
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3.46University of Minnesota1.950.1%1st Place
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1.99University of Wisconsin3.190.4%1st Place
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4.45Northwestern University1.160.0%1st Place
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4.51University of Notre Dame1.120.0%1st Place
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5.29Western Michigan University0.510.0%1st Place
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7.13University of Iowa-1.190.0%1st Place
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7.04Miami University-1.130.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Seago | 36.5% | 31.2% | 19.5% | 9.1% | 3.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Grosch | 10.6% | 15.0% | 27.3% | 21.6% | 17.3% | 7.0% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Michael Lee | 40.0% | 33.8% | 16.6% | 7.1% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Travis Cottle | 4.7% | 7.9% | 13.4% | 19.8% | 27.5% | 19.8% | 6.1% | 0.8% |
| John Schneider | 4.7% | 6.6% | 12.6% | 23.4% | 23.3% | 22.0% | 6.1% | 1.3% |
| Jack Greve | 2.5% | 4.0% | 6.7% | 13.8% | 20.4% | 31.9% | 16.2% | 4.5% |
| Nicholas Searles | 0.8% | 0.5% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 8.7% | 31.5% | 50.9% |
| Samuel Werley | 0.2% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 9.3% | 38.9% | 42.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.