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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin3.19+0.97vs Predicted
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2University of Minnesota1.95+1.44vs Predicted
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3University of Michigan3.02-0.83vs Predicted
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4Northwestern University1.16+0.45vs Predicted
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5University of Notre Dame1.12-0.49vs Predicted
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7Western Michigan University0.51-1.72vs Predicted
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8University of Iowa-1.19-0.87vs Predicted
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9Miami University-1.13-1.96vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.97University of Wisconsin3.190.4%1st Place
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3.44University of Minnesota1.950.1%1st Place
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2.17University of Michigan3.020.3%1st Place
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4.45Northwestern University1.160.1%1st Place
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4.51University of Notre Dame1.120.0%1st Place
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5.28Western Michigan University0.510.0%1st Place
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7.13University of Iowa-1.190.0%1st Place
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7.04Miami University-1.130.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Lee | 42.3% | 30.6% | 17.3% | 7.3% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Grosch | 10.8% | 15.4% | 27.1% | 21.2% | 17.5% | 6.8% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Seago | 32.8% | 35.2% | 18.9% | 9.3% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Travis Cottle | 5.1% | 7.4% | 13.6% | 19.6% | 27.4% | 20.0% | 6.1% | 0.8% |
| John Schneider | 4.9% | 6.4% | 12.5% | 23.6% | 23.1% | 22.1% | 6.1% | 1.3% |
| Jack Greve | 3.0% | 3.5% | 6.7% | 13.9% | 20.4% | 31.8% | 16.2% | 4.5% |
| Nicholas Searles | 0.8% | 0.7% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 8.8% | 31.4% | 50.9% |
| Samuel Werley | 0.3% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 9.3% | 38.9% | 42.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.