← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Wisconsin3.04+1.08vs Predicted
-
2University of Minnesota1.95+1.42vs Predicted
-
3University of Michigan3.02-0.89vs Predicted
-
4University of Notre Dame1.12+0.47vs Predicted
-
6Northwestern University1.16-1.58vs Predicted
-
7Miami University-1.13+0.07vs Predicted
-
8Western Michigan University0.51-2.69vs Predicted
-
9University of Iowa-1.19-1.89vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.08University of Wisconsin3.040.4%1st Place
-
3.42University of Minnesota1.950.1%1st Place
-
2.11University of Michigan3.020.4%1st Place
-
4.47University of Notre Dame1.120.1%1st Place
-
4.42Northwestern University1.160.0%1st Place
-
7.07Miami University-1.130.0%1st Place
-
5.31Western Michigan University0.510.0%1st Place
-
7.11University of Iowa-1.190.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Trepton | 38.6% | 30.9% | 18.5% | 8.3% | 3.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Grosch | 11.2% | 16.0% | 25.8% | 23.3% | 14.7% | 7.9% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Seago | 36.3% | 32.5% | 19.0% | 8.7% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Schneider | 5.4% | 7.6% | 13.3% | 18.6% | 27.6% | 19.8% | 6.7% | 1.0% |
| Travis Cottle | 4.9% | 8.1% | 12.6% | 22.8% | 24.5% | 20.9% | 5.5% | 0.7% |
| Samuel Werley | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 10.2% | 32.6% | 47.3% |
| Jack Greve | 3.1% | 3.2% | 7.6% | 12.7% | 18.8% | 32.4% | 18.0% | 4.2% |
| Nicholas Searles | 0.1% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 7.4% | 36.0% | 46.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.