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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin3.04+1.09vs Predicted
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2University of Michigan3.02+0.13vs Predicted
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3University of Minnesota1.95+0.37vs Predicted
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4University of Notre Dame1.12+0.49vs Predicted
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5Northwestern University1.16-0.58vs Predicted
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7Miami University-1.13+0.08vs Predicted
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8Western Michigan University0.51-2.69vs Predicted
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9University of Iowa-1.19-1.89vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.09University of Wisconsin3.040.4%1st Place
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2.13University of Michigan3.020.3%1st Place
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3.37University of Minnesota1.950.1%1st Place
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4.49University of Notre Dame1.120.1%1st Place
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4.42Northwestern University1.160.1%1st Place
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7.08Miami University-1.130.0%1st Place
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5.31Western Michigan University0.510.0%1st Place
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7.11University of Iowa-1.190.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Trepton | 38.2% | 30.8% | 19.7% | 7.6% | 3.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Seago | 34.9% | 33.2% | 19.2% | 9.2% | 3.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Grosch | 12.9% | 15.0% | 25.9% | 23.5% | 14.2% | 7.7% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| John Schneider | 5.2% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 21.3% | 26.1% | 20.8% | 6.7% | 1.0% |
| Travis Cottle | 5.4% | 6.9% | 13.8% | 21.6% | 26.1% | 19.9% | 5.6% | 0.7% |
| Samuel Werley | 0.3% | 0.7% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 10.4% | 32.6% | 47.3% |
| Jack Greve | 2.8% | 3.9% | 7.7% | 11.8% | 18.8% | 32.7% | 18.1% | 4.2% |
| Nicholas Searles | 0.3% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 7.6% | 36.1% | 46.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.