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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University2.55+1.51vs Predicted
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2Tufts University3.65-0.43vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.97+0.20vs Predicted
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4University of New Hampshire0.78+0.66vs Predicted
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5University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.01+0.47vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.22-1.93vs Predicted
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8Amherst College-1.32-1.49vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.51Boston University2.550.2%1st Place
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1.57Tufts University3.650.6%1st Place
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3.2Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.970.1%1st Place
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4.66University of New Hampshire0.780.0%1st Place
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5.47University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.010.0%1st Place
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4.07Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.220.0%1st Place
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6.51Amherst College-1.320.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conor Fowler | 21.5% | 33.4% | 24.8% | 14.5% | 4.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Duncan Swain | 60.6% | 26.1% | 9.6% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sean McLaughlin | 10.4% | 19.5% | 30.6% | 23.3% | 12.0% | 3.4% | 0.8% |
| Emmet Todd | 2.1% | 6.5% | 11.0% | 19.6% | 31.4% | 23.7% | 5.7% |
| Kelsey Martins | 0.8% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 9.4% | 19.0% | 44.6% | 17.8% |
| George Luber | 4.2% | 10.1% | 17.4% | 28.3% | 24.4% | 13.7% | 1.9% |
| Amelia Vinciguerra | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 7.5% | 13.7% | 73.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.