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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.65+0.57vs Predicted
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2Boston University2.55+0.55vs Predicted
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3University of New Hampshire0.78+1.58vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.97-0.78vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.22-0.90vs Predicted
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6University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.01-0.51vs Predicted
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8Amherst College-1.32-1.51vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.57Tufts University3.650.6%1st Place
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2.55Boston University2.550.2%1st Place
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4.58University of New Hampshire0.780.0%1st Place
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3.22Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.970.1%1st Place
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4.1Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.220.1%1st Place
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5.49University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.010.0%1st Place
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6.49Amherst College-1.320.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Duncan Swain | 60.5% | 26.1% | 10.2% | 2.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Conor Fowler | 18.6% | 35.7% | 24.7% | 15.8% | 3.9% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Emmet Todd | 3.8% | 6.7% | 9.8% | 19.8% | 33.1% | 20.7% | 6.1% |
| Sean McLaughlin | 10.7% | 18.9% | 30.3% | 22.7% | 13.2% | 4.1% | 0.1% |
| George Luber | 5.0% | 9.3% | 17.6% | 26.7% | 24.6% | 13.8% | 3.0% |
| Kelsey Martins | 1.3% | 1.9% | 5.7% | 9.8% | 18.6% | 44.0% | 18.7% |
| Amelia Vinciguerra | 0.1% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 6.2% | 16.0% | 72.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.