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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.65+0.56vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.97+1.16vs Predicted
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3Boston University2.55-0.48vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.22+0.12vs Predicted
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5University of New Hampshire0.78-0.39vs Predicted
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7University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.01-1.47vs Predicted
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8Amherst College-1.32-1.51vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.56Tufts University3.650.6%1st Place
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3.16Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.970.1%1st Place
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2.52Boston University2.550.2%1st Place
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4.12Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.220.0%1st Place
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4.61University of New Hampshire0.780.0%1st Place
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5.53University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.010.0%1st Place
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6.49Amherst College-1.320.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Duncan Swain | 61.1% | 26.0% | 9.4% | 2.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sean McLaughlin | 10.9% | 20.6% | 30.0% | 22.4% | 12.3% | 3.4% | 0.4% |
| Conor Fowler | 19.6% | 33.7% | 28.3% | 12.3% | 5.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| George Luber | 3.9% | 9.7% | 16.7% | 27.1% | 27.2% | 13.3% | 2.1% |
| Emmet Todd | 3.4% | 6.3% | 9.6% | 22.0% | 29.8% | 23.3% | 5.6% |
| Kelsey Martins | 1.0% | 2.2% | 4.6% | 10.3% | 18.3% | 43.8% | 19.8% |
| Amelia Vinciguerra | 0.1% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 3.0% | 6.4% | 15.5% | 72.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.