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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.6
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.33+0.86vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.23+0.99vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.47-0.28vs Predicted
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4Boston University1.12-0.86vs Predicted
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5University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.72+0.18vs Predicted
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6Amherst College-1.57+0.01vs Predicted
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7University of New Hampshire-1.74-0.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.86Tufts University2.330.5%1st Place
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2.99Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.230.2%1st Place
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2.72Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.470.2%1st Place
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3.14Boston University1.120.1%1st Place
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5.18University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.720.0%1st Place
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6.01Amherst College-1.570.0%1st Place
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6.09University of New Hampshire-1.740.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kate Shaner | 48.2% | 27.6% | 15.6% | 6.8% | 1.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Robert Queisser | 15.2% | 21.8% | 25.5% | 26.1% | 9.4% | 1.9% | 0.1% |
| Kyle Brego | 18.4% | 27.5% | 26.9% | 18.7% | 7.4% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Jackson Chabot | 14.4% | 18.0% | 23.3% | 30.2% | 11.7% | 2.1% | 0.3% |
| Kelsey Delosh | 2.1% | 2.5% | 5.1% | 9.4% | 40.1% | 28.3% | 12.5% |
| Marco Catipovic | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 4.5% | 16.5% | 35.6% | 39.9% |
| Emily Chase | 1.0% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 4.3% | 13.2% | 30.9% | 47.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.