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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Notre Dame-0.34+2.03vs Predicted
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2Michigan State University-1.65+2.98vs Predicted
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3Ohio State University0.64-1.09vs Predicted
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4Michigan Technological University-0.55-0.78vs Predicted
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5University of Michigan-1.04-0.95vs Predicted
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6Marquette University-3.39+1.13vs Predicted
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7Western Michigan University-2.31-1.11vs Predicted
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8Michigan Technological University-2.29-2.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.03University of Notre Dame-0.3417.2%1st Place
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4.98Michigan State University-1.654.9%1st Place
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1.91Ohio State University0.6446.4%1st Place
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3.22Michigan Technological University-0.5516.2%1st Place
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4.05University of Michigan-1.048.6%1st Place
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7.13Marquette University-3.390.8%1st Place
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5.89Western Michigan University-2.312.4%1st Place
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5.79Michigan Technological University-2.293.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Molinsky | 17.2% | 23.2% | 23.5% | 18.7% | 11.5% | 4.5% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Thomas Weykamp | 4.9% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 14.8% | 20.7% | 22.2% | 15.5% | 6.1% |
| Emma Hershey | 46.4% | 29.0% | 14.8% | 7.5% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Gavin Parsons | 16.2% | 19.4% | 23.8% | 19.4% | 12.2% | 6.7% | 2.3% | 0.1% |
| Connor Caplis | 8.6% | 12.6% | 16.2% | 20.4% | 21.8% | 13.2% | 5.9% | 1.4% |
| Elizabeth Lothian | 0.8% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 4.8% | 10.4% | 16.6% | 61.3% |
| Kate Heaman | 2.4% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 8.2% | 13.4% | 22.4% | 29.9% | 14.9% |
| Astrid Myhre | 3.7% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 13.9% | 20.2% | 28.4% | 16.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.