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📊 Prediction Accuracy
14.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Amherst College-1.57+4.92vs Predicted
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3University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.72+2.18vs Predicted
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4University of New Hampshire-1.74+2.11vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.23-1.93vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.47-3.21vs Predicted
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7Boston University1.12-3.84vs Predicted
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8Tufts University2.33-6.22vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.92Amherst College-1.570.0%1st Place
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5.18University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.720.0%1st Place
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6.11University of New Hampshire-1.740.0%1st Place
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3.07Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.230.1%1st Place
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2.79Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.470.2%1st Place
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3.16Boston University1.120.1%1st Place
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1.78Tufts University2.330.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marco Catipovic | 1.0% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 18.0% | 35.4% | 37.4% |
| Kelsey Delosh | 2.0% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 10.4% | 40.4% | 26.5% | 13.6% |
| Emily Chase | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 12.4% | 31.0% | 48.5% |
| Robert Queisser | 14.1% | 19.7% | 26.7% | 26.7% | 10.6% | 2.1% | 0.1% |
| Kyle Brego | 18.2% | 25.7% | 25.3% | 22.8% | 6.3% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Jackson Chabot | 13.3% | 18.9% | 24.6% | 28.5% | 11.1% | 3.4% | 0.2% |
| Kate Shaner | 50.3% | 28.7% | 14.7% | 5.0% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.