← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Stanford University4.19+1.17vs Predicted
-
2University of California at Santa Barbara2.14+3.97vs Predicted
-
3University of Hawaii3.680.00vs Predicted
-
4California State University Monterey Bay1.63+3.34vs Predicted
-
5University of Southern California2.64-0.17vs Predicted
-
6University of California at San Diego1.81+0.82vs Predicted
-
7Santa Clara University1.55+0.18vs Predicted
-
8University of California at Berkeley2.12-2.09vs Predicted
-
9University of California at Santa Cruz1.12-0.66vs Predicted
-
10University of California at Irvine1.71-3.12vs Predicted
-
11California State University Monterey Bay1.63-3.66vs Predicted
-
12Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.39-4.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.17Stanford University4.190.4%1st Place
-
5.97University of California at Santa Barbara2.140.1%1st Place
-
3.0University of Hawaii3.680.2%1st Place
-
7.34California State University Monterey Bay1.630.0%1st Place
-
4.83University of Southern California2.640.1%1st Place
-
6.82University of California at San Diego1.810.0%1st Place
-
7.18Santa Clara University1.550.0%1st Place
-
5.91University of California at Berkeley2.120.1%1st Place
-
8.34University of California at Santa Cruz1.120.0%1st Place
-
6.88University of California at Irvine1.710.0%1st Place
-
7.34California State University Monterey Bay1.630.0%1st Place
-
7.55Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.390.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kieran Chung | 40.2% | 27.8% | 15.2% | 10.9% | 4.1% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Stokes | 5.2% | 6.5% | 9.1% | 10.6% | 11.4% | 14.5% | 11.4% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 7.4% | 3.4% | 0.0% |
| Adam Pokras | 21.0% | 24.8% | 21.6% | 14.6% | 8.3% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mark Hurdle | 2.7% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 11.7% | 13.3% | 13.4% | 13.1% | 13.5% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Hutcheson | 9.7% | 11.0% | 13.8% | 14.0% | 12.9% | 12.9% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 3.0% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Nicolas Delfino | 3.2% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 11.2% | 10.3% | 12.4% | 11.7% | 10.7% | 11.7% | 9.9% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Ale | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 12.6% | 12.5% | 11.0% | 13.4% | 13.3% | 0.0% |
| Travis Benton | 5.7% | 6.1% | 10.3% | 11.5% | 13.2% | 10.1% | 11.1% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 0.0% |
| Ian Spilman | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 18.5% | 28.9% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Heller | 3.5% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 11.3% | 12.0% | 10.7% | 13.7% | 12.0% | 9.2% | 0.0% |
| Mark Hurdle | 2.7% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 11.7% | 13.3% | 13.4% | 13.1% | 13.5% | 0.0% |
| David Cornella | 2.5% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 12.0% | 13.2% | 15.0% | 16.5% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.