← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Southern California2.64+3.89vs Predicted
-
2Stanford University4.19+0.17vs Predicted
-
3University of Hawaii3.68-0.06vs Predicted
-
4University of California at Santa Barbara2.14+2.14vs Predicted
-
5California State University Monterey Bay1.63+2.18vs Predicted
-
6University of California at San Diego1.81+0.74vs Predicted
-
7University of California at Santa Cruz1.12+1.14vs Predicted
-
8University of California at Irvine1.71-1.14vs Predicted
-
9University of California at Berkeley2.12-2.93vs Predicted
-
10Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.39-2.36vs Predicted
-
11Santa Clara University1.55-3.77vs Predicted
-
12California State University Monterey Bay1.63-4.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.89University of Southern California2.640.1%1st Place
-
2.17Stanford University4.190.4%1st Place
-
2.94University of Hawaii3.680.2%1st Place
-
6.14University of California at Santa Barbara2.140.0%1st Place
-
7.18California State University Monterey Bay1.630.0%1st Place
-
6.74University of California at San Diego1.810.0%1st Place
-
8.14University of California at Santa Cruz1.120.0%1st Place
-
6.86University of California at Irvine1.710.0%1st Place
-
6.07University of California at Berkeley2.120.1%1st Place
-
7.64Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.390.0%1st Place
-
7.23Santa Clara University1.550.0%1st Place
-
7.18California State University Monterey Bay1.630.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Hutcheson | 7.7% | 10.3% | 14.3% | 14.6% | 13.6% | 13.4% | 10.9% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Kieran Chung | 42.2% | 24.9% | 17.1% | 9.1% | 4.5% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adam Pokras | 21.8% | 26.2% | 19.3% | 15.0% | 8.7% | 5.4% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Stokes | 4.5% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 10.0% | 10.9% | 13.4% | 13.1% | 12.3% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 4.1% | 0.0% |
| Mark Hurdle | 4.0% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 12.6% | 13.9% | 12.4% | 13.3% | 0.0% |
| Nicolas Delfino | 3.2% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 10.3% | 8.7% | 12.8% | 12.7% | 10.7% | 11.1% | 9.4% | 0.0% |
| Ian Spilman | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 13.0% | 15.4% | 26.9% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Heller | 4.1% | 4.1% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 10.0% | 12.4% | 12.9% | 9.8% | 0.0% |
| Travis Benton | 5.4% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 11.5% | 13.4% | 12.6% | 10.7% | 9.5% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 0.0% |
| David Cornella | 2.4% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 12.6% | 12.5% | 15.7% | 18.8% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Ale | 2.1% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 12.2% | 13.1% | 15.1% | 11.6% | 0.0% |
| Mark Hurdle | 4.0% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 12.6% | 13.9% | 12.4% | 13.3% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.