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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College1.60+8.32vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.73+3.00vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College2.29+3.53vs Predicted
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4University of Pennsylvania1.59+4.48vs Predicted
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5Brown University1.78+3.47vs Predicted
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6Tufts University2.15+2.45vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College2.38-0.92vs Predicted
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8U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.22+2.71vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University1.53+0.95vs Predicted
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10Washington College1.66-0.94vs Predicted
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11Boston University1.39-1.23vs Predicted
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12North Carolina State University1.99-2.96vs Predicted
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13University of South Florida0.90-1.22vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont0.71-2.14vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University1.05-3.38vs Predicted
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16University of Rhode Island2.78-11.14vs Predicted
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17Clemson University0.23-3.41vs Predicted
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18Texas A&M University at Galveston-0.83-1.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.32Dartmouth College1.604.4%1st Place
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5.0Yale University2.7313.5%1st Place
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6.53Connecticut College2.299.2%1st Place
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8.48University of Pennsylvania1.595.5%1st Place
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8.47Brown University1.784.8%1st Place
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8.45Tufts University2.155.1%1st Place
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6.08Bowdoin College2.3810.7%1st Place
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10.71U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.223.1%1st Place
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9.95Roger Williams University1.534.2%1st Place
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9.06Washington College1.664.5%1st Place
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9.77Boston University1.394.0%1st Place
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9.04North Carolina State University1.995.5%1st Place
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11.78University of South Florida0.902.7%1st Place
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11.86University of Vermont0.712.5%1st Place
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11.62Northeastern University1.052.8%1st Place
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4.86University of Rhode Island2.7815.4%1st Place
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13.59Clemson University0.231.8%1st Place
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16.43Texas A&M University at Galveston-0.830.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Taylor Eastman | 4.4% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 1.1% |
| Jack Egan | 13.5% | 13.6% | 13.3% | 11.8% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 9.2% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Christopher Sharpless | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Hunter Zonnenberg | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Ansgar Jordan | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Thomas Hall | 10.7% | 11.2% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Lars Osell | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 2.1% |
| Riley Read | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 1.4% |
| Stewart Gurnell | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 0.5% |
| Noah Robitshek | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 4.1% | 1.5% |
| Scott Harris | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| Andreas Keswater | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 11.9% | 12.8% | 4.5% |
| Ryan Hamilton | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 11.3% | 11.8% | 4.9% |
| Matt Hersey | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 4.5% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 15.4% | 13.2% | 13.1% | 10.9% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Garrett Cook | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 9.2% | 11.6% | 21.6% | 15.6% |
| Gunnar Pierson | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 7.0% | 12.2% | 62.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.