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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University4.19+1.15vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii3.68+0.82vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara2.14+2.98vs Predicted
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4University of California at San Diego1.18+4.20vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Cruz1.12+3.11vs Predicted
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6California State University Monterey Bay1.63+1.05vs Predicted
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7University of California at Berkeley2.12-1.25vs Predicted
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8University of Southern California2.64-3.39vs Predicted
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9University of California at Irvine1.71-2.14vs Predicted
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10Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.39-2.54vs Predicted
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11Santa Clara University1.55-3.98vs Predicted
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12California State University Monterey Bay1.63-4.95vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.15Stanford University4.190.4%1st Place
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2.82University of Hawaii3.680.3%1st Place
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5.98University of California at Santa Barbara2.140.1%1st Place
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8.2University of California at San Diego1.180.0%1st Place
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8.11University of California at Santa Cruz1.120.0%1st Place
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7.05California State University Monterey Bay1.630.0%1st Place
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5.75University of California at Berkeley2.120.1%1st Place
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4.61University of Southern California2.640.1%1st Place
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6.86University of California at Irvine1.710.0%1st Place
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7.46Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.390.0%1st Place
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7.02Santa Clara University1.550.0%1st Place
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7.05California State University Monterey Bay1.630.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kieran Chung | 38.2% | 29.2% | 19.8% | 7.7% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adam Pokras | 25.9% | 24.5% | 19.0% | 15.0% | 7.7% | 4.7% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Stokes | 5.6% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 10.9% | 11.5% | 13.4% | 14.2% | 10.8% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 4.2% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Wooldridge | 1.4% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 9.2% | 11.4% | 14.4% | 16.7% | 24.3% | 0.0% |
| Ian Spilman | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 11.9% | 18.2% | 24.2% | 0.0% |
| Mark Hurdle | 2.9% | 3.6% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 10.5% | 13.1% | 13.9% | 12.1% | 10.1% | 0.0% |
| Travis Benton | 6.0% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 12.1% | 13.1% | 12.9% | 13.3% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Hutcheson | 9.1% | 11.4% | 15.4% | 17.4% | 12.2% | 11.9% | 9.4% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Heller | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 8.4% | 10.4% | 10.7% | 11.8% | 12.7% | 12.4% | 11.4% | 9.0% | 0.0% |
| David Cornella | 2.4% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 11.4% | 14.0% | 15.8% | 14.1% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Ale | 2.6% | 3.9% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 11.0% | 10.4% | 11.1% | 13.4% | 12.6% | 11.8% | 10.3% | 0.0% |
| Mark Hurdle | 2.9% | 3.6% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 10.5% | 13.1% | 13.9% | 12.1% | 10.1% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.